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  #1  
Old 11-14-2007, 04:52 PM
Logun Logun is offline
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Posts: 559
Default 25NL - +EV to play for stacks?

villain is 75/11 over 30 hands.

anyone mind this? I don't think there was much FE, but with the dead money in the pot I think this is correct?


Full Tilt Poker, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker Hand History Converter

Hero (BTN): $31.35
SB: $6.75
BB: $17.80
UTG: $17.90
MP: $24.25
CO: $16.10

Pre-Flop: 7 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN)
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.85, SB calls $0.75, BB calls $0.60

Flop: ($2.55) J [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 3 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 Players)
SB checks, BB bets $6.75, Hero raises to $20, SB folds


I put his range as J2-JT and Q2-QT giving me about 45% equity.
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  #2  
Old 11-14-2007, 04:54 PM
icheckcallu icheckcallu is offline
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Location: Losing play money
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Default Re: 25NL - +EV to play for stacks?

hell no.. where is the dead money? Ill wait for a better spot since villain is a spewtard. I just mash the pot button when i get a good hand.
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  #3  
Old 11-14-2007, 05:00 PM
billip62 billip62 is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 105
Default Re: 25NL - +EV to play for stacks?

probably not profitable given the lack of fold equity. if that was an AKd I'd push in a heart beat, but I think you really need those extra 3 outs.
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  #4  
Old 11-14-2007, 05:03 PM
thoman8r thoman8r is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Bala Cynwyd, PA
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Default Re: 25NL - +EV to play for stacks?

the guy plays 71% of his hands and you are excited about having 45% equity? Seriously, there will be so many better spots to get it in against this guy.
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  #5  
Old 11-14-2007, 05:45 PM
bulldawgblue bulldawgblue is offline
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Location: Re-Evaluating
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Default Re: 25NL - +EV to play for stacks?

I don't really agree with those saying "wait for a better spot". Its either +EV or it isn't. Has he overbet the flop like this before? It doesn't seem as if you have much fold equity. I probably fold unless I have a read.
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  #6  
Old 11-14-2007, 06:00 PM
Logun Logun is offline
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Posts: 559
Default Re: 25NL - +EV to play for stacks?

he did this once before with TPNK
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