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  #1  
Old 11-29-2007, 03:39 PM
Lord_Strife Lord_Strife is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: 180 man FT
Posts: 1,046
Default Re: *** Official joining every $4/180man until I win one ***

Well for the record I am not from Sarasota and Klaching is correct I do live in tampa and that's probably what I was wearing tomorrow if I went and played but theres a ton of loopholes I would have to jump through to get into the One Eyed Jacks tournament Friday so I'm not even going to bother.

You know what that means for you guys? Another day of $4/180man action for me so I'm in the next one that's going to launch and will be playing on very little sleep in every one thats coming up. WEEEEEEEEEEEE
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  #2  
Old 11-29-2007, 04:53 PM
PsYcOsNiPeR PsYcOsNiPeR is offline
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Location: Florida
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Default Re: *** Official joining every $4/180man until I win one ***

Hmm, I live in Venice, about 15 miles south of Sarasota.
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  #3  
Old 11-29-2007, 04:55 PM
Lord_Strife Lord_Strife is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: 180 man FT
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Default Re: *** Official joining every $4/180man until I win one ***

[ QUOTE ]
Hmm, I live in Venice, about 15 miles south of Sarasota.

[/ QUOTE ]

I grew up in Punta Gorda and went to USF for school so I kinda ended up here for living
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  #4  
Old 11-29-2007, 05:35 PM
Nate. Nate. is offline
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Default Re: *** Official joining every $4/180man until I win one ***

Strife--

Can I assume you still think you're >90% to succeed?

--Nate
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  #5  
Old 11-29-2007, 07:35 PM
Lord_Strife Lord_Strife is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: 180 man FT
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Default Re: *** Official joining every $4/180man until I win one ***

I think 50% to succeed sounds about correct for one session of all of them. I actually decided not to play all of them today because I'm going to the brick and mortar casino shortly.. however I am 4/9 at a final table right now and 10/19 in the other one i'm playing.
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  #6  
Old 11-30-2007, 03:00 PM
ssnyc ssnyc is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2005
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Default Re: *** Official joining every $4/180man until I win one ***

well? done? update?
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  #7  
Old 11-30-2007, 03:25 PM
Perplexity Perplexity is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2006
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Default Re: *** Official joining every $4/180man until I win one ***

[ QUOTE ]
I think 50% to succeed sounds about correct for one session of all of them.

[/ QUOTE ]

Considering that you've won exactly 1 out of the 208 4/180s you've played, a reasonable guess for the number you'd have to play to have a 50% chance of winning 1 is about 144. Quite a session.
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  #8  
Old 11-30-2007, 05:17 PM
Sherman Sherman is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Ph. D. School
Posts: 3,999
Default Re: *** Official joining every $4/180man until I win one ***

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I think 50% to succeed sounds about correct for one session of all of them.

[/ QUOTE ]

Considering that you've won exactly 1 out of the 208 4/180s you've played, a reasonable guess for the number you'd have to play to have a 50% chance of winning 1 is about 144. Quite a session.

[/ QUOTE ]

That can't be right at all IMO. If OP has a clue what he is doing, he ought to be 50% to win 1 in 90 or less 180s.

Look, if the MTT was a lottery he would win 1 in 180 on average. So if he was playing based on pure luck alone he ought to be 50% to win 1 in 90. Because OP posts on 2+2 alone makes him a much bigger favorite than that to win one.

I'd say he is at least 50% to win 1 in 60 and close to 100% (on average) to win 1 in 120.

Sherman
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