#1
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FTOPS #1 - When do I become a believer?
From lasts nights FTOPS. Table has been pretty tight passive including Hero (completely card dead to this point) and SB. Villian has been one of the few aggro players but not a maniac or lagtard.
When he limped button I assumed he didn't have a big hand since there was no reason to expect either SB or Hero to make a move. Also didn't think he had junk - expecting him to raise or fold that. I expected he had some connecting cards that wouldn't mind playing multi-way in position. I'm not giving him credit for an A or a K here. I am sure he'll stab at this if checked to; I'm confident he'll fire a second shell; no clue if he could/would fire a 3rd shell. At what point in the hand should I cease in my disbelief and assume he has me beat? What's the best line for balancing value generation from his bluffs and finding myself alone in value town? OT - where's the converter for FT? Anyway, here's raw history: Full Tilt Poker Game #3195887199: FTOPS Event #1 (22618705), Table 439 - 80/160 - No Limit Hold'em - 22:49:03 ET - 2007/08/08 Seat 1: Sydney Dean (7,024) Seat 2: johnyblaze62 (2,330) Seat 3: manumilitari (4,318) Seat 4: gallagej (2,700) Seat 5: Poker_Cuervo (7,810) Seat 6: waterfall47 (9,007) Seat 7: rev hockey (5,170) Seat 8: Sashimi Sushi (5,870) Seat 9: bascomeb (2,610) waterfall47 posts the small blind of 80 rev hockey posts the big blind of 160 The button is in seat #5 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to rev hockey [Kh 8c] Sashimi Sushi has 15 seconds left to act Sashimi Sushi folds bascomeb folds Sydney Dean folds johnyblaze62 folds manumilitari folds gallagej folds Poker_Cuervo calls 160 waterfall47 folds rev hockey checks *** FLOP *** [3c Kd Ac] rev hockey checks Poker_Cuervo bets 320 rev hockey calls 320 *** TURN *** [3c Kd Ac] [6d] rev hockey checks Poker_Cuervo bets 800 rev hockey calls 800 *** RIVER *** [3c Kd Ac 6d] [7s] rev hockey checks Poker_Cuervo bets 2,240 Hero?? |
#2
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Re: FTOPS #1 - When do I become a believer?
I would like to think you can find a better spot. You pretty much can't beat anything here.
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#3
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Re: FTOPS #1 - When do I become a believer?
Could be Arag that made aces up, 45, or 67cc. Missed clubs or just a straight 3 barrel bluff are possible.
Not sure why everyone is doing the check/call 3 streets line lately. I'd prefer a flop, turn, or river lead somewhere to pick up some more info. I'm not a fan of the check/call and hope lines even with how aggressive everyone seems to be getting. |
#4
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Re: FTOPS #1 - When do I become a believer?
Hmm, this one is a lot tougher as your hands showdown value is a lot weaker.
Its really not uncommon for people to open limp the button with a weak suited ace. I like your flop call, but by the turn i probably give up unless you have a really specific reason to believe he never limps a low A/decent K here. One other thing to consider, is that a lot of people are really bad post flop and might turn a hand with a lot of showdown value (say a limped K9-KJ) into a bluff and jam the river. Unfortunately, you don't beat any of those hands. |
#5
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Re: FTOPS #1 - When do I become a believer?
I fold the turn, but I am often described as weak and/or tight. I also find I am usually right in these situations though.
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#6
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Re: FTOPS #1 - When do I become a believer?
[ QUOTE ]
I fold the turn, and I love seeing 7 cards. I also find I am usually right in these situations iff I agree with Watts. [/ QUOTE ] |
#7
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Re: FTOPS #1 - When do I become a believer?
What part of his range value bets the turn? Don't margina1 1 pair hands check behind in a WAWB pot control situation? Don't monsters check behind on a dry board to get an extra bet from my likely 1 pair holding on the river?
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#8
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Re: FTOPS #1 - When do I become a believer?
[ QUOTE ]
What part of his range value bets the turn? Don't margina1 1 pair hands check behind in a WAWB pot control situation? Don't monsters check behind on a dry board to get an extra bet from my likely 1 pair holding on the river? [/ QUOTE ] This isn't a dry board. |
#9
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Re: FTOPS #1 - When do I become a believer?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I fold the turn, and I love seeing 7 cards. I also find I am usually right in these situations iff I agree with Watts. [/ QUOTE ] [/ QUOTE ] |
#10
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Re: FTOPS #1 - When do I become a believer?
[ QUOTE ]
Could be Arag that made aces up, 45, or 67cc. Missed clubs or just a straight 3 barrel bluff are possible. Not sure why everyone is doing the check/call 3 streets line lately. I'd prefer a flop, turn, or river lead somewhere to pick up some more info. I'm not a fan of the check/call and hope lines even with how aggressive everyone seems to be getting. [/ QUOTE ] Betting at any point in this hand is very, very bad. |
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