nl100: turn straight draw in small pot

[DaycareInferno]

15/10/3 fcb of 53. just sat down. hands are datamined

Full Tilt Poker, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

CO: $100
Hero (BTN): $100
SB: $20.10
BB: $101.35
UTG: $40.80
MP: $68.55

Pre-Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN)
3 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $3</font>, SB folds, BB calls $2

Flop: ($6.50) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($6.50) 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">BB bets $5</font>

[rapidacid]

I'm confused. What are you doing?

[scorpion_nz]

I think I'm just c-betting the flop and folding to any resistance.

[DaycareInferno]

do you really think its profitable to cbet the flop against that guy on that board?

[Bramsterdam]

[ QUOTE ]
do you really think its profitable to cbet the flop against that guy on that board?

[/ QUOTE ]That guy folds when he misses, and he misses a lot on this board.

[DaycareInferno]

why do you say that he folds when he misses? he plays a tight range, folds to cbets only half the time overall, and this is a completely innocuous board vs. a button raiser.

[rapidacid]

Just bet the flop ... the hand plays itself ...

[DaycareInferno]

i'm not really that worried about hands playing themselves though. if i was, i'd just cbet every single flop nomatter what. i think this is a relatively bad flop to cbet against this opponent. i also have the option of a turn cbet if he shows no interest. i don't think its that huge of a deal either way though.

as played, i'm not sure what's best on the turn. if he has a weak hand, i might have enough fe to raise. if he has a hand he likes, i might have good enough implied odds to call, since my draw is well conceiled and i've shown not much strength to this point. or maybe its just best to give up and move on.

[rapidacid]

Tho your sample size is small, this is a 15% VPIPs probable range:

77+,A7s+,K9s+,QTs+,JTs,ATo+,KTo+,QJo

Some of that range he 3bets from the blinds ... A 15/13 isn't looking to get crazy aggro postflop, and the majority of this range doesn't even come close to connecting with this flop ... most 15/13s also aren't looking to float OOP with two overs

So, cbetting or not can be a personal preference, but it's alot easier to play this hand when you do

[pdoran10]

if you arent cbetting this flop because you feel like it hits his range too hard, then why are you asking about your turn play? its a snapfold if you arent betting the flop.

i like betting the flop and i think you are assigning him too tight of a range.