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#1
02-04-2007, 11:00 PM
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How profitable is a free card play
Assume:
1) I have TPTK and I decide that I'm showing a hand down. 2) My opponent has an OESD and we'll say that he has no other equity for some reason... I bet, I think we can make him raising for a free card play worth 0.15bb roughly. I came to this figure by saying that I had 2/3 equity on the flop, and he put in an extra bet there: +1/3SB for me. He will lose 1bb when he hits, also: +1/3 BB for me. But he will avoid getting bet into on the turn: +0.30BB for him assuming I have 80% equity at that point. Does this seem about right? Can we entirely ignore the pot size when making this determination? 
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#2
02-04-2007, 11:14 PM
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Re: How profitable is a free card play
Does it matter? In your scenario, why are we not 3-betting? He will call the 3-bet if on a draw, and have us lead out on the turn, thus charging the draw the maximum.
If we 3-bet and its capped, we are likely to check the turn thus making the free-card play successful, but he pays that extra BB anyways. If he does cap the turn, TPTK is likely to be not good and I am ready to c/f turn and b/f river.
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#4
02-04-2007, 11:23 PM
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Re: How profitable is a free card play
[img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
Ok, I knew you've been into STT's for a while now... did you win some huge tourney or something? Or are you one of hte developers for that software?
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#5
02-05-2007, 01:25 AM
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Re: How profitable is a free card play
[ QUOTE ]
Hahaha Search: Shillx That is why I haven't replied. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img] [/ QUOTE ] SICK! search for me.. bravos_1 on FT. Atleast your not on "super tilt" LMAO [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]
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