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  #1  
Old 11-27-2007, 07:05 PM
innerpeace innerpeace is offline
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Default Re: River value spot

[ QUOTE ]
Why did you call the turn? There's been no discussion hammering the call.

[/ QUOTE ]

based on the description of the flow of the match, betting turn is likely not so good given the risk of villain raising hero off the hand. if villain is underbetting pot, then it's a good spot to just check/call.
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  #2  
Old 11-27-2007, 07:27 PM
El Diablo El Diablo is offline
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Default Re: River value spot

cts,

Against this guy it seems clear you have to bet. I also can't see betting less than pot on UB. I think pot is the way to go here, but I think this is a decent spot to push as well.
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  #3  
Old 11-27-2007, 07:39 PM
FiSheYe FiSheYe is offline
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Default Re: River value spot

Definately not less than 3/4pot but as described with UP dynamics/betsizes betting pot looks almost the same (especially if he doesn't know you are CTS but perceives you as a loose Lagtard/Maniac).
We could make an argument for overbets or shoves but with the provided information I have trouble to estimate a calling frequency so I cannot tell which one offers more expected value.
C/R seems awful if he is almost never bluffing but might call big bets loosely in that spot.
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