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  #1  
Old 11-04-2007, 05:57 PM
checktheriver checktheriver is offline
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Default NL100 Top 2 facing river shove

Villain is 50/19/0.6 (0.5/0.8/4) over ~100 hands. I don't have any specific reads, and even though he's been pretty loose preflop, I haven't seen him do crazy things postflop. He seems bad though and probably overvalues his marginal hands.

I guess my bets are too small on flop/turn, but what range do you put him on with this river bet, and do you call ? (I have 94$ behind).

Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker Hand History Converter

MP: $134.05
CO: $109.50
Hero (BTN): $133.05
SB: $102.30
BB: $153.95
UTG: $217.75

Pre-Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN)
UTG calls $1, 2 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $5</font>, SB folds, BB calls $4, UTG calls $4

Flop: ($15.50) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 Players)
BB checks, UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $11</font>, BB folds, UTG calls $11

Turn: ($37.50) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $23</font>, UTG calls $23

River: ($83.50) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">UTG bets $178.75 and is All-In</font>
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  #2  
Old 11-04-2007, 06:02 PM
Nick Royale Nick Royale is offline
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Default Re: NL100 Top 2 facing river shove

More on flop, more on turn. Set up for a river shove. You could easily be behind on the river, but I think I make a crying call.
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  #3  
Old 11-04-2007, 06:04 PM
orange orange is offline
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Default Re: NL100 Top 2 facing river shove

Bet more on the flop/turn. I think you're [censored] on the river but I usually pay off.
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  #4  
Old 11-04-2007, 06:05 PM
carnivalhobo carnivalhobo is offline
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Default Re: NL100 Top 2 facing river shove

please dont call this
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  #5  
Old 11-04-2007, 06:07 PM
Wolverine Wolverine is offline
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Default Re: NL100 Top 2 facing river shove

The bet isn't much more than the pot for you, so you have top two and are getting nearly 2-1. Easy call, surely? I think you're ahead here more often than you're behind. It's probably not likely he calls the flop looking for the backdoor flush.
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  #6  
Old 11-04-2007, 06:09 PM
Nick Royale Nick Royale is offline
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Default Re: NL100 Top 2 facing river shove

[ QUOTE ]
The bet isn't much more than the pot for you, so you have top two and are getting nearly 2-1. Easy call, surely? I think you're ahead here more often than you're behind. It's probably not likely he calls the flop looking for the backdoor flush.

[/ QUOTE ]
Nah, but 86/QTss/KQss/T9ss/98ss/87ss etc should be a big concern. I actually think the crying riv call might be bad.
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  #7  
Old 11-04-2007, 09:50 PM
QuadLaser QuadLaser is offline
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Default Re: NL100 Top 2 facing river shove

I don't think I would ever call this vs a 0.6 AF player. His 4 river agg is troubling though. I think you lose this pot way way more than the 2-1 odds you are getting. He prob called w/ any piece on the flop, turned a flush draw and stuck around, or his OESD got there with 6-8. I am a nit, so I dump it.
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  #8  
Old 11-05-2007, 05:14 AM
ciro bonano ciro bonano is offline
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Default Re: NL100 Top 2 facing river shove

[ QUOTE ]
please dont call this

[/ QUOTE ]
You don't trust the river AF 4?
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  #9  
Old 11-05-2007, 05:24 AM
Jamougha Jamougha is offline
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Default Re: NL100 Top 2 facing river shove

You want to look at his river aggression frequency, rather than aggression factor.
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