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Another bottom set where I think I am beat (FR, 10/20 online)
10/20 online, 9 players
I have $4200 and villain covers. I have played with villain a lot, and he sees me as tight. He is TAG and solid - definitely a winning player. MP limps for $20. Another MP limps. I limp in LP with 3 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 3 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. SB folds, BB (Villain) checks. Flop (4 players, $90): 3 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Checked to me, I bet $80. BB calls, MP limper folds. Turn (2 players, $250): 9 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] BB checks. I bet $240. BB makes it $725. I start thinking about what he may have, and actually don't like my hand too much. When he check calls flop, he could have just a pair if he thinks I am stealing (it was checked to me in LP). I am tight preflop, but he knows I will often bet with nothing if checked to on the flop. When he C/Rs, I figure he has a monster or is bluffing (including semi-bluffing). I don't feel good about my hand at this point, and am not going to raise. I think and call. I plan to fold to a big (pottish, $1600 or more) river bet. If he bets $1600+, the plan is to fold. I don't think he bets the river big with a hand that I am beating (two pair would be unlikely at this point). River (2 players, $1700). K [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] He bets $1200. When he bets the river, my read is that bottom set is no good here. However, he has only bet $1200 and I am getting about 2.5 to 1. I really don't think I am good here. Call or fold? |
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