25NL A-K am i a huge nit??

Semtex · #1 05-19-2007, 11:44 PM

villain was 15/1.7/1.65 over ~100 hands.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Button ($20.35)
SB ($24.40)
BB ($25)
UTG ($24.65)
Hero ($29.35)
MP1 ($24.40)
MP2 ($15.40)
CO ($31.80)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
UTG calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.25, 2 folds, CO calls $1.25, 3 folds, UTG calls $1.

Flop: ($4.10) 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 players)
UTG bets $2, Hero calls $2, CO folds.

Turn: ($8.10) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
UTG bets $5, Hero folds.

Final Pot: $13.10

H5N1 · #2 05-20-2007, 12:01 AM

With only 100 hands on villain, I think I'd raise the flop. I could easily see him having a weaker king or lower pair.

D.L.M. · #3 05-20-2007, 12:05 AM

played fine till the fold, I imagine that you ran into some sets or somthing recently. I dont see any reason to raise the flop. dont fold this just keep calling and bet if checked to on the river.

Semtex · #4 05-20-2007, 12:16 AM

[ QUOTE ]
I imagine that you ran into some sets or somthing recently.

[/ QUOTE ]
yesterday was rough

Jay.Yang · #5 05-20-2007, 12:35 AM

Why are you so convinced that he has a set? On a dry Flop like that, I would raise to $6-7. As played, I would call the Turn.

Mr_Donktastic · #6 05-20-2007, 12:39 AM

Yes.

Mr_Donktastic · #7 05-20-2007, 12:52 AM

[ QUOTE ]
I dont see any reason to raise the flop. dont fold this just keep calling and bet if checked to on the river.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is correct.

Semtex · #8 05-20-2007, 12:54 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Why are you so convinced that he has a set? On a dry Flop like that, I would raise to $6-7. As played, I would call the Turn.

[/ QUOTE ]
the fallacy of trusting 100 hands worth of stats i guess. my instincts were telling me the guy had top top beat.

MrTynKyn · #9 05-20-2007, 01:33 AM

I can see two ways ( based on stats)
1.Raise on flop ( a little big) and fold to a re-raise
2.Keep calling small bets till river