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  #1  
Old 11-02-2007, 12:45 AM
Performify Performify is offline
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Default === OFFICIAL November -- December 2007 CHATTER THREAD ===

Rules: absolutely anything goes in here, no matter how off topic, as long as it doesn't violate the site's terms and conditions or the general tone of this forum (i.e. still be respectful to each other). But you can talk about any subject you want in here... . Discuss anything you want!


Previous chatter thread (active 8/21 - 10/31/07)
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...umber=11761433

-P
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  #2  
Old 11-02-2007, 12:50 AM
prodonkey prodonkey is offline
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Default Re: === OFFICIAL November -- December 2007 CHATTER THREAD ===

why do so many posters in this forum feel the need to sign their posts?
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  #3  
Old 11-02-2007, 12:52 AM
Performify Performify is offline
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Default Re: === OFFICIAL November -- December 2007 CHATTER THREAD ===

Dunno. I've always done it since I first came here (even under my original name)

-P
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  #4  
Old 11-02-2007, 12:52 AM
Thremp Thremp is offline
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Default Re: === OFFICIAL November -- December 2007 CHATTER THREAD ===

ballingness


-Un-banned
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  #5  
Old 11-02-2007, 12:55 AM
MyTurn2Raise MyTurn2Raise is offline
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Default Re: === OFFICIAL November -- December 2007 CHATTER THREAD ===

you were banned?
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  #6  
Old 11-02-2007, 12:57 AM
MyTurn2Raise MyTurn2Raise is offline
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Default Re: === OFFICIAL November -- December 2007 CHATTER THREAD ===

mogwai wrote:
[ QUOTE ]

Hmm, quick math shows that this is actually really bad. If the pleaser pays 6:1, then you need both games to win with prob. > ~38%. Even in the best case, with both games going from +7.5 to +13.5, each games winning prob. goes from 50% to about 29%. Somebody can double-check me on this, but it looks like these bets are even more -EV than I thought.
For 3 teams at 17:1 it works out about the same. You still need each team to have a winning % > 38%, which just isn't going to be possible in the NFL.

It might be worth looking into the numbers for college, where you have more large spreads and the push frequencies for the key numbers are lower.

[/ QUOTE ]

ummmmm... do you or anyone know anywhere that does NCAAF pleasers?
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  #7  
Old 11-02-2007, 01:01 AM
llabb llabb is offline
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Default Re: === OFFICIAL November -- December 2007 CHATTER THREAD ===

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Al Gore to announce he is running by November 1st. No -600. $300 to win $50

[/ QUOTE ]
Ship it. Still gotta love bodog.

[/ QUOTE ]

Nice. Any reason on earth that Gore is being given about a 10% chance to actually win the Democratic nomination on Matchbook? You can bet on him not to win the nomination at -1100.

It would seem that his chances to win should be much, much smaller than that. His chances to even run for President seem like they should be smaller than that. What am I missing?
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  #8  
Old 11-02-2007, 01:06 AM
mogwai316 mogwai316 is offline
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Default Re: === OFFICIAL November -- December 2007 CHATTER THREAD ===

[ QUOTE ]

ummmmm... do you or anyone know anywhere that does NCAAF pleasers?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah I just started running the numbers for these and there are some spreads that could be *very* profitable for NCAAF. Unfortunately, it looks like the books don't do them. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img] If anyone knows of a book that does, please post and let us know.
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  #9  
Old 11-02-2007, 01:30 AM
iillllii iillllii is offline
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Default Re: === OFFICIAL November -- December 2007 CHATTER THREAD ===

Bet Jamaica has them:

Pleasers (NFL / NCAAF)*NEW*
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  #10  
Old 11-02-2007, 01:36 AM
jsnipes28 jsnipes28 is offline
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Default Re: === OFFICIAL November -- December 2007 CHATTER THREAD ===

Gonna start dicking around w/ sportsbetting. Does anyone have an excel template/spreadhseet that they use for football/basketball? Would be great. Did a little search but 2p2 search sucks and i'm not that good at it anyhow.

PM me or just respond here if you do.

-John (since everyone signs their posts here)
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