Am I the worst hand reader 400 NL ?

[docnuclear]

He just got here 2 hands ago. I'm 21/17/3 if he datamines.

Full Tilt Poker, $2/$4 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

BB: $398
UTG: $854.25
MP: $432.10
CO: $457.65
Hero (BTN): $428.70
SB: $413.60

Pre-Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
3 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $14</font>, SB calls $12, BB folds
I assume he is a standard tag unless proven otherwise so when he calls pf I put him an a mid-PP.

Flop: ($32) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $20</font>, SB calls $20

I put him on a K like KQs or a PP between 55 and TT.
Turn: ($72) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: ($72) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $65</font>, <font color="red">SB raises to $202</font>.

When he checks I do not put him on a K, I think an 8 or a K would bet river in case I check behind since I really could have nothing here.
But tags do not ch raise river very often so it gas got to be an 8 right ???

[Big_Jim]

Your river bet is of course a standard value bet, and your hand reading up until that point is good.

As for the c/r.. meh. I just don't think you see many people at this level turning a made hand into a bluff.

[fraserbrown]

I would put him on the King more often than not with the preflop raise, I think that AK,KQ are both hands that he can call with. He is not going to bet the river like he does with pocket Q's or lower, there is not way he puts you on an eight, make the call since there are relatively few cards that can beat you and you have to call $137 into a $339 pot.

[Big_Jim]

fraser-

what?

[homeboy604]

8 whiffs the cr on turn, makes fh on river and figures you dont have much so goes for the cr.
fold.

[jessica1994]

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OOP float whiffs the cr on turn, makes nothing on river and figures you have ace high so goes for the cr since you might fold a good hand like KJ but wont fold ace high to river bet.
fold.

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[captainwacky]

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[ QUOTE ]
OOP float whiffs the cr on turn, makes nothing on river and figures you have ace high so goes for the cr since you might fold a good hand like KJ but wont fold ace high to river bet.
fold.

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this makes no sense either, but it's a fold no matter how you word it incorrectly

[ArturiusX]

I prefer betting the turn, they never seem to fold 77 here.

[ogdundar]

With no history I def fold this. Your line really looks like a pot controlled K and few people c/r-bluff the river.

[rand]

good hand, now fold
turn bet is good too though