200NL- T9s gets shoved on for 200bbs on 929 flop

[Imrahil]

Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $1/$2 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

<u>SB: $571.30</u>
BB: $287.20
UTG: $175.10
<u>Hero (MP): $393.85</u>
CO: $235.05
BTN: $223.10

Reads: <font color="blue">Villain is 21/14/1.6 over 200 hands. Flop AF is more like 1.2. Nothing worth noting about him.</font>

Preflop: Hero is dealt T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (6 Players)
UTG folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $8.00</font>, 2 folds, SB calls $7.00, BB calls $6.00

Flop: ($24) 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">BB bets $14.00</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $50.00</font>, <font color="red">SB raises to $400.00</font>, BB folds, Hero?

[PartysOver]

definetly dont think a fold is bad

[Imrahil]

He thought for a long while before raising.

[PartysOver]

so you think he's doing it with draws/pp here? I dont think it's a move enough to make a call good.

the concept of implied tilt odds (even though its mostly a joke) for me is huge in these marginal spots for 200bb+ stacks, i'd rather muck and put a note down for next time.

the timing tell is innacurate, he could have had other tables pop up, talked to a roomate, aim window popped up, whatever.

without a read/something this is more and more of a fold esp with 1.2 flop af

[Suwalski]

You beat nothing, fold.

[PartysOver]

[ QUOTE ]
You beat nothing, fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

this is wrong, he could reasonably have 98, 97

that said i dont think you beat a reasonable range, i put in a few draws, 22, 9x and came up with ~40%

[AaronOC]

you've got outs whatever he has, gable it up and call

[FishSticks]

I'd fold without much worry here. Your read is nothing interesting/unusual about him, if he's routinely making massive overbet shoves you'd notice.

[keikiwai]

i called in a similar spot once

guy had 22

i sucked out

so, i'd fold

[PartysOver]

imrahil you have a huge leak and it comes from spots like these. that's all i want to say

that said, i had the worst played hand of my past 5-6 months against you yesterday