NL50 99 meets heavy action on montone board

Parvex · #1 11-19-2007, 08:38 AM

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (4 handed) Poker Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Hero ($52.10)
UTG ($28.75)
Button ($31.40)
SB ($74.80)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
UTG calls $0.50, Button calls $0.50, SB completes, Hero raises to $3.25, UTG calls $2.75, Button calls $2.75, SB folds.

Flop: ($10.25) 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero bets $9.75, UTG raises to $25.5, Button calls $25.50, Hero ???

Both villains seem to be pretty incompetent with UTG being 44/15/1.8 over 110 hands and Button 40/4/1.3 over 125 hands.

Easy fold, right?

xoom · #2 11-19-2007, 08:41 AM

Super easy fold. You're only 42% to win against A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], and there's still the possibility of a made flush/TT+/set.

Malifous · #3 11-19-2007, 08:50 AM

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willyc · #4 11-19-2007, 08:53 AM

Well in the best case they are both on draws, but they probably have 15 outs between them, and of course either of them could have a set, better overpair, or a made flush.

You need 22% equity to call which is really good... but I feel like a made flush is a big enough of their combined ranges to make calling marginal or bad here.

willyc · #5 11-19-2007, 08:56 AM

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Yeah it looks like a really easy fold, but isn't 4.5:1 enough to give it a second thought? I'm curious as to whether anyone would call here.

Profish2285 · #6 11-19-2007, 08:57 AM

This is a pretty quick fold. Worst case scenario youre drawing close to dead as one villain could have a set while other has the flush or is drawing to a high flush. Best case scenario, theyre both drawing but Im going to assume they have at least 3 overs on you, more than likely all 4 and youre looking like an overall dog by the time you get to showdown. I dont think the odds are even close to your favor with the realistic chance that youre drawing close to dead much more often than youre just moderately behind.

Nick Royale · #7 11-19-2007, 09:10 AM

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Yeah it looks like a really easy fold, but isn't 4.5:1 enough to give it a second thought? I'm curious as to whether anyone would call here.

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The odds doesn't mean much when you're drawing dead.

Malifous · #8 11-19-2007, 09:13 AM

*sloww*

willyc · #9 11-19-2007, 09:14 AM

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Yeah it looks like a really easy fold, but isn't 4.5:1 enough to give it a second thought? I'm curious as to whether anyone would call here.

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The odds doesn't mean much when you're drawing dead.

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Running 9's FTW. Just kidding.

I think I might have called this vs. bad opponents, thanks for letting me know that this is a leak.