Nuts on the river, deep

ahnuld · #1 12-01-2007, 02:34 PM

5/10. Villan in this hand isnt a reg, hes ok, but not very good. His stats are pretty average. I very rarely lead this flop, and I was check calling, donking turn. On the river I was debating between a normal bet a weak lead or a CR. What do you guys do?

Flop aggression 7, turn AF 1.5 River AF infinite, total AF 3.67, but only 87 hands

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $10 BB (6 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

CO ($185)
Button ($2355)
SB ($1883)
Hero ($2241.50)
UTG ($2042.75)
MP ($871)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
3 folds, Button raises to $35, 1 fold, Hero calls $25.

Flop: ($75) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero checks, Button checks.

Turn: ($75) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $55, Hero raises to $155, Button calls $100.

River: ($385) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)

Final Pot: $385

ahnuld · #2 12-01-2007, 02:35 PM

and if anyone says "but ahnuld, you only have the second nuts, lolz!" ur getting banned

TheWorstPlayer · #3 12-01-2007, 02:36 PM

[ QUOTE ]
and if anyone says "but ahnuld, you only have the second nuts, lolz!" ur getting banned

[/ QUOTE ]
but.... you said... but... arg!

anyways, you should c/r and i dont think it's close

Praetor · #4 12-01-2007, 02:37 PM

I just make a normal bet here

DMoogle · #5 12-01-2007, 02:42 PM

[ QUOTE ]
you should c/r and i dont think it's close

[/ QUOTE ]

theplux · #6 12-01-2007, 02:42 PM

ya cr ;o

Astyanax · #7 12-01-2007, 02:44 PM

The problem with a CR is that with most of the hands he gets to the river with as played, he can only have like the 8th nuts...with only one exception 22

His likeliest holdings are a very weak ace/mid to high pair (and he got frisky on the flop). I think he rarely has a flush and never a boat (except 22).

Since he only can have one hand that he will value bet very strong on this board, I think a weak lead is best as you get called by mid-pairs and tempts a bluff from some strangely played floats/paired hands turned into a bluff.

I like this hand.

TheWorstPlayer · #8 12-01-2007, 02:49 PM

he's not going to look you up lightly on this board. you have to hope that he was drawing/trapping on the turn and that you can bust him up by c/r'ing on the river.

PartyScout · #9 12-01-2007, 02:52 PM

Lead flop,bet turn,CRAI river

ahnuld · #10 12-01-2007, 04:18 PM

if he has a medium club wouldnt I be more liekly to make money by leading? Is there some amount where he will raise the K or Q of clubs but call worse clubs?