Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > Other Topics > Business, Finance, and Investing
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #11  
Old 08-26-2007, 05:39 AM
TheMetetron TheMetetron is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Blog Updated Dec 1st
Posts: 6,839
Default Re: How did my advisor do?

Stick with your index funds you are getting screwed and she wants to get paid. I'd wager $50,000 that I know more than this broad.
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 08-27-2007, 02:57 PM
gull gull is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 981
Default Re: How did my advisor do?

This advisor sounds like a salesperson, and not someone with your best interests in mind.

A common tactic that salespeople use is promoting funds that have done well in the past. There are two problems here. The first is survivorship bias. The only funds around today that you can invest in are the ones that have been successful and haven't been shut down. This can make it look like a family of funds is outperforming. For instance, if you look at five funds and see that they've all beaten the market over the last five years, it seems natural to assume they are outperformers. However natural though, you can't draw that judgement. The fund family may have been adding new funds every year, and only keeping the ones that outperform. While you see the five outperformers, you don't see the five funds that failed and shut down. The second problem with identifying outperformance is that salespeople imply that this outperformance will continue. Unfortunately for the fund's investors, outperformance does not persist (or if it does, only a little as a result of momentum effects). Historically, funds that did really well over a period of 10 years still didn't fare any better than the average fund.

Front loads are essentially commissions. This is why salespeople push front-loaded funds so heavily. The extra fees only hurt your returns, but they line the pockets of the seller. If your advisor had your best interests in mind, she wouldn't be pushing loaded funds. They do not outperform index funds, and they don't make the fund cheaper in the long run.

There are two surefire ways to help control your return. Asset allocation and costs. You should construct a portfolio of index funds to achieve your desired asset allocation. You should also try your hardest to reduce commissions, fees, loads, expenses, etc. Fees are the only certain component of your returns, and they are negative. 1% may not seem like much, but the power of compounding can turn a 1% expense ratio into thousands of lost dollars.
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 08-27-2007, 05:26 PM
NajdorfDefense NajdorfDefense is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Manhattan
Posts: 8,227
Default Re: How did my advisor do?

[ QUOTE ]
The deal with funds is that there are a lot that have done well in the past 3-5 or even 10 years. However that doesn't mean that they're going to continue to do so. There reason that people on here don't like funds very much is since they are actively managed you are paying someone (one way or another) to handle your money. Even if they only take out 0.5% per year they have to then beat the market but more than that to show a profit for you.

[/ QUOTE ]

However, there are dozens of funds/managers that have shown such ability over decades, and passive long-only index funds which are 100% long stocks are not necessarily the solution for every investor, and less tax-efficient than the best active funds in some cases.

But they are the cheapest.
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 08-27-2007, 06:50 PM
mtgordon mtgordon is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 723
Default Re: How did my advisor do?

Which funds/managers are these? I'm certainly not saying you're wrong. I'm legitimately interested.

Also, ETFs seem to be pretty tax efficient from what I understand as you just pay the 15% capital gains taxes after you sell (I'm a beginner in this area as well so I could be wrong, I'm just interested in people explaining why/how).
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 08-27-2007, 07:25 PM
skindog skindog is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: wait... what?
Posts: 304
Default Re: How did my advisor do?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
You are being screwed. Read more here. Go with no-load index funds. Don't sell them again for the rest of your life until you need to and profit hugely.

[/ QUOTE ]

He's being screwed? He should read more here from poker players that bought an issue of Money at Safeway last week and now think they know more than certified financial advisors?

He should dump the good performance those advisors have given him so far in favor of the mediocre performance turned in by index funds?

OP, it sounds like your financial professionals have done well by you.

[/ QUOTE ]

I hope this is a level. I can't think of even one reason to consider any load funds. There are plenty of no-load funds with no fee to any salesperson that have great managers and identical performance to load funds... except for the fact that you save a bunch of money up front.

Yes, he should read more here, but more importantly, he should grab an intro book or two on investing (Investing for Dummies works, as does A Random Walk on Wall Street), and then judge for himself. It's definitely more beneficial than listening to the advice of someone who has an incentive to offer certain products just because that person gets paid for every product sold.

Cliff's notes: Index funds are probably the best answer over the long term. Load funds are *definitely* not the way to go.
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 08-27-2007, 10:19 PM
ItalianFX ItalianFX is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: 3 Weeks to Freedom
Posts: 4,808
Default Re: How did my advisor do?

I have traded/invested in stocks before. Everything I know about the stock market I basically taught myself. I never really knew how to evaluate mutual funds as I always assumed the only way you could really do it was to look at the past performance along with the fund's objective.

So my question is, how do you evaluate mutual funds?

Secondly, ETFs track indices. Doesn't that then conclude that your selections track the indices and have no management behind them? If the market does well, the ETF does well, and vice versa. On the other hand, as my advisor had noted, mutual funds are managed by the managers and therefore are able to control the ups and downs of the market to an extent.

Can someone lead me in the right direction?

I have read several investing books, including Random Walk, but it has been so long. Maybe I should pull it out and read it again.
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 08-27-2007, 10:30 PM
Shoe Shoe is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Follow me to riches!
Posts: 3,379
Default Re: How did my advisor do?

Most financial advisors should be fired. They do not have your best interests in mind.
Reply With Quote
  #18  
Old 08-27-2007, 10:47 PM
IdealFugacity IdealFugacity is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 363
Default Re: How did my advisor do?

[ QUOTE ]
On the other hand, as my advisor had noted, mutual funds are managed by the managers and therefore are able to charge you for the opportunity to put your money somewhere where it is entirely possible it will perform worse than the overall market indices available for purchase at a very low cost, and in the long term probably reducing your return by at least the charged expense ratio.

[/ QUOTE ]

Read books. 2, 3, 4 books. Spend a month thinking, re-reading, posting (other places, like diehards.org), and calling customer support lines / visiting websites of mutual funds and banks to make sure they offer the services you want (money transfers, good APY on savings accounts, wide selection of index funds)...Then you will be able to be your own investment advisor, in the categories of equities, bonds, and cash savings.

i recently mentioned wanting to talk to a pro, and my girlfriend said I'd probably piss them off because i'd just argue with everything they told me. i won't have an idea of whether or not that is good or bad until i'm at least 59.5, and i won't know for sure till i breathe my last.
Reply With Quote
  #19  
Old 08-27-2007, 11:47 PM
skindog skindog is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: wait... what?
Posts: 304
Default Re: How did my advisor do?

[ QUOTE ]
Secondly, ETFs track indices. Doesn't that then conclude that your selections track the indices and have no management behind them? If the market does well, the ETF does well, and vice versa. On the other hand, as my advisor had noted, mutual funds are managed by the managers and therefore are able to control the ups and downs of the market to an extent.

[/ QUOTE ]

Bust out random walk again.. it, along with a few other investing books, argues that on average ETFs outperform mutual funds - because of the higher expense ratios. On average, mutual fund managers don't contribute any returns above an index, they can't beat the market! This is because the market is fairly efficient. And as for beating the market's ups and downs, Random Walk shows pretty convincingly that right before the biggest crashes, money managers have most of their money in equities. Right before many booms, money managers have a much larger portion in bonds and cash. They're not really good at timing the market. Not really an advantage over an ETF/index fund. This is because much of Wall Street adheres to a herd mentality, and is a function of money managers being evaluated quarter-to-quarter.

I don't believe the market is as efficient as the author believes... there are definitely people that can beat the market over a long period of time. But the gist I take away is this: unless you're good at spotting those skilled, successful money managers, your best bet is to stick your money in an index fund. It'll perform just as well as if you picked a mutual fund stock picking wise - only your account will fare better due to smaller fees.

So whenever I advise someone to invest, I point them toward ETFs. Vanguard offers a great selection of ETFs with very low expense ratios.

My personal investing philosophy is split between investing in ETFs and hand picking stocks myself... but that's because as a business owner and intelligent consumer, I can spot companies that the market hasn't evaluated efficiently yet. I don't peg myself to be a good enough judge of character to determine the great money managers, so I stay away from mutual funds.
Reply With Quote
  #20  
Old 08-27-2007, 11:55 PM
skindog skindog is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: wait... what?
Posts: 304
Default Re: How did my advisor do?

Oh yeah.. further advice. If you really want financial help, you should seek help from someone with no conflicts of interest. Someone who gets paid every time they sell you something has a pretty obvious conflict of interest. Every book I've read has recommended financial advisors that charge by the hour, rather than by commissions. As with everything else in life, you get what you pay for.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 04:00 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.