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  #21  
Old 09-20-2007, 10:54 AM
Antinome Antinome is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2006
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Default Re: HU- JJ... in which i underrep my hand so now i have to call a psb?

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You only beat 88,99, and a bluff(AQ, AJ, A8, A9). While his range includes those hands, it includes too many hands that beat you. AT, K9-KA, TT+. Unless I've seen him bluff before, this one I let go. I 'put' him on TT.

[/ QUOTE ]his 3 bet range is MUCH larger then this. he has 3 bet me 4 times in 30 hands. so either he is gettin hit in the face with the deck or he 3 bets light. prolly the latter obv

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Kaz, that range I proposed lines up with exactly 14% of the deck, which is the same as 4/30 = 13.3%. Of course, over this sample he could be running good, running bad, w/e. The rational thing to do is assume he 3bets exactly as often as it seems he 3bets.

That isn't the only 14% 3bet range, of course.... mine would look more like ... 44+,AJs+,KJs+,QTs+,J9s+,T7s+,97s+,86s+,75s+,65s,AQ o+,KQo. But the original one is more popular with most villains, since it values high cards more.
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  #22  
Old 09-20-2007, 12:23 PM
kaz2107 kaz2107 is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Hating CO pro sports atm
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Default Re: HU- JJ... in which i underrep my hand so now i have to call a psb?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
You only beat 88,99, and a bluff(AQ, AJ, A8, A9). While his range includes those hands, it includes too many hands that beat you. AT, K9-KA, TT+. Unless I've seen him bluff before, this one I let go. I 'put' him on TT.

[/ QUOTE ]his 3 bet range is MUCH larger then this. he has 3 bet me 4 times in 30 hands. so either he is gettin hit in the face with the deck or he 3 bets light. prolly the latter obv

[/ QUOTE ]

Kaz, that range I proposed lines up with exactly 14% of the deck, which is the same as 4/30 = 13.3%. Of course, over this sample he could be running good, running bad, w/e. The rational thing to do is assume he 3bets exactly as often as it seems he 3bets.

That isn't the only 14% 3bet range, of course.... mine would look more like ... 44+,AJs+,KJs+,QTs+,J9s+,T7s+,97s+,86s+,75s+,65s,AQ o+,KQo. But the original one is more popular with most villains, since it values high cards more.

[/ QUOTE ]i think the range u described for urself is reasonably close to the one villian would have in this spot as well. obv meaning his range on the flop is behind me obv. but is he capable of potting it with air or w/e on the river.!?!?!?

im gonna go do hw SIGH and then go to class and ill come back and post tha results in a few hours. so u have more to discuss we can but if not ill post the results
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