Good Sample Size?

[igetbadbeat]

I'm sure this has been gone over 100000X, but i don't see it in any sticky or FAQ. What is a good sample size to start judging win rate?

30K hands?

[VPIP100]

use the search function [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

30k is more than enough for the micro's.

[monkover]

don´t agree I had a freakin 8000 hand downswing...

[RAHZero]

[ QUOTE ]
don´t agree I had a freakin 8000 hand downswing...

[/ QUOTE ]

So? After 30k hands, you should have a decent idea of whether or not you're a winner at a given limit. Your winrate will probably be within 4 PTBB or so of your true winrate. After 100k hands you should have a very good idea of your true winrate, but if you're beating a limit, there's no reason to play 100k hands there (at the micros). Though I do have like 150k hands lifetime of NL 50.

[igetbadbeat]

ok, I've only got 15K hands @ NL 50 right now....


I'm a guy who used to play NL 2/4 regularly with only 5-10 buyins and basically made a living off of it for 6 months until I went to 10/20 and went busto Then i played NL 100 for a while with 10-20 buyins and lived off that for about a year until I went busto due to tilt. Now I won a freeroll and am trying to play legitimately. I don't want ot ever go busto again plus I wanna give myself a shot at moving to NL 50/100. I will try to play 100K at each level before moving up.

[K䲰䮥n]

So my 8.5ptbb/100 after 25k (9-tabling) at NL50 isnt just a heater? weee...

[Lordy]

30K hands can tell you if you're a winner in the game you play or not.

For a close estimation of your winrate, try 100K hands...