SuperBowl NFC to win+15.5 (-110)

[King Yao]

I think AFC -15.5 is a fair line. No edge either way.
If the Patriots make it, the line could be in the 20s if a surprise NFC team gets there. Pats vs Cowboys could be Pats -13/-14 range. A lot depends on if the Patriots continue their 20+ point wins.

Two things to remember about the Super Bowl:
- the point spread line is inflated towards the favorite (IND would only have been -7 against CHI in IND in a regular season game last year, but they were -7 in a neutral field? That's the Super Bowl for ya).

- the money line is usually very low compared to the point spread. When NE was a 14 point dog to STL in 2001, you could easily find STL -450 in the money line, which is closer to what a 10-point favorite should be. Again, that's the Super Bowl for ya.