100NL Value bet this river?

[BevillTheDevil]

Villian is 23/15/1.7 after 206 hands. Seems to call a lot of cbets but typically just gives up on the turn. But what is villian's callin range on the river here??

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.50/$1
5 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
Hero: $132.60
CO: $101.40
Button: $204.20
SB: $56.55
BB: $139.20

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is UTG with K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
<font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $4</font>, 3 folds, BB calls.

Flop: Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($8.5, 2 players)
BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $6</font>, BB calls.

Turn: Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($20.5, 2 players)
BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $14</font>, BB calls.

River: 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($48.5, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero ?

[mdkrahn]

always

[loosbastard]

I make it $17-18 on turn...and yes I'm v-betting river all day. Just pick a # really.

[GeeBeeQED]

He could have 33 or 55 here. It's more likely he has JJ TT, QT or QJ. If I had to put my money on his probable hand I'd have to say JJ or TT. Check calling along worried about your hand. A good player might play 88/99 or 77 just like you have here. Your showing possible weakness with your bet sizes. On balance, I'd bet this hand on the end unless the player was super tight and/or always played for a check raise. Then I'm worried he's calling with AQ or 33 or 55 and I'd probably check the river. 90% of the time however, I'm betting on the end. If you'd been losing or playing many hands recently it might change my read of what the other player is thinking or playing.

[apunisher]

gogogogogo, 38-42

[BenJay]

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gogogogogo, 38-42

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[BanZaY]

u can represent a 3 barrel bluff here...correct timing and bet size ~35-42

[el_grande]

[ QUOTE ]
u can represent a 3 barrel bluff here...correct timing and bet size ~35-42

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representing a 3 barrel bluff? you'd have to be running about 45/30 to do that.

[loosbastard]

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representing a 3 barrel bluff? you'd have to be running about 45/30 to do that.

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Hearts bricked.

[KLJ]

[ QUOTE ]
100NL Value bet this river?

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LOL r u serious?