I wanna be a hero sometimes

[Laetus]

Villan is playing 35/15/4 and I'm playing TAG. We haven't tangled. Is it time to be a hero on the river?

EverestPoker Game #1992353123: Table Nassau-3 - $3.00/$6.00 - No Limit Hold'em - 21:24:44 - 2007/08/26
Seat 1: WalterSob ($570.00)
Seat 2: Jeanj ($159.80)
Seat 3: HERO ($525.00)
Seat 4: agrolina123 ($206.30)
Seat 6: Prickster ($354.50)
agrolina123 posts the small blind of $3.00
Prickster posts the big blind of $6.00
The button is in seat #3
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to HERO[J [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]]
WalterSob folds
Jeanj folds
HERO raises to $21.00
agrolina123 folds
Prickster calls $15.00
*** FLOP *** [T [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]]
Prickster checks
HERO bets $30.00
Prickster raises to $60.00
HERO calls $30.00
*** TURN *** [T [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]] [9 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]]
Prickster bets $54.00
HERO calls $54.00
*** RIVER *** [T [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 9 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]] [A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]]
Prickster bets $219.50 and is all-in
HERO folds

[luegofuego]

no?

[Laetus]

His range is very narrow on the river and I think his most likely holdings are QJ or 33. It's 16 combos of QJ and only 3 combos of 33.

[luegofuego]

why are u discounting 9x?

[Laetus]

[ QUOTE ]
why are u discounting 9x?

[/ QUOTE ]
Well he could have it. But I think his more likely to check-mini-raising flop w/ a straight draw or a set.

[Laetus]

Mhe... maybe I change my mind. He could easily hold 9x fairly frequently. He could probably easily think on the flop like "lol is my 9 good!? I better try a mini-raise".

[jfish]

omg snap call.

[Laetus]

[ QUOTE ]
omg snap call.

[/ QUOTE ]
Hmm... now I'm a bit confused. Two players who I think are good says completely different things. Could you please elaborate your reasoning for why villain has air like always?

[Janis N.]

If you don't think he's good (it's Everest, after all) then he can even show up with something completely retarded like QT or AQ sometimes. Any 9 as well. It's not nuts or air with them.

I think it's a fold.

[Hattifnatt]

river fold is fine. the c/minraise followed by a weak bet when the board pairs and then the push is often a boat.

If he was (semi-)bluffing I would expect a bigger turn bet and I dont think he would push the river with Tx or a PP between Jacks and Kings (he most probably 3-bet these pre as well).