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#11
12-19-2006, 06:08 PM
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Re: River Value Bet?
cool. thanks.
After playing small stakes, mixed games, and a lot of tourneys lately, I'm finding myself overthinking really easy stuff. 
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#12
12-22-2006, 06:17 PM
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Re: River Value Bet?
[ QUOTE ]
Grunch. Check/Call. I'd hate to get raised here. I think the only reasonable hand that he would call and you would beat is JJ or AT but with either of those hands I think he'd have raised on the flop. Looks like a missed flush to me. [/ QUOTE ] In an effort to learn from my first grunch post(above), I'm bumping this to get some feedback on my post. The consensus is that this is a value bet. Why? What are they calling with? If I value bet it's because I feel I'm best and there are hands that can call that I have beat. Both of those prereq's have to be met in my head. Am I wrong?
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#13
12-22-2006, 06:32 PM
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Re: River Value Bet?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Grunch. Check/Call. I'd hate to get raised here. I think the only reasonable hand that he would call and you would beat is JJ or AT but with either of those hands I think he'd have raised on the flop. Looks like a missed flush to me. [/ QUOTE ] In an effort to learn from my first grunch post(above), I'm bumping this to get some feedback on my post. The consensus is that this is a value bet. Why? What are they calling with? If I value bet it's because I feel I'm best and there are hands that can call that I have beat. Both of those prereq's have to be met in my head. Am I wrong? [/ QUOTE ] Hero bet the turn for value. It's very unlikely that a deuce helped the villain, unless he's a nit, which we don't have the evidence to assume. Bet the river for the same reason as turn - you hand is still the best, most likely. What ands will call you that you have beat? At these levels A7, Ax, Tx, 88, 99, JJ. If it's a busto flush draw, you are not making any money on it anyway ... but have an added advantage of not showing your hand if he folds!
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#14
12-22-2006, 07:37 PM
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Re: River Value Bet?
**Grunch**
I always bet this river. Even though villian only has a .7 AF In the long run you will make money. Situtations like this one come up all the time for me (and I would assume others too). A high % of the time I get called with an inferior hand.
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#15
12-22-2006, 07:42 PM
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Re: River Value Bet?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Grunch. Check/Call. I'd hate to get raised here. I think the only reasonable hand that he would call and you would beat is JJ or AT but with either of those hands I think he'd have raised on the flop. Looks like a missed flush to me. [/ QUOTE ] In an effort to learn from my first grunch post(above), I'm bumping this to get some feedback on my post. The consensus is that this is a value bet. Why? What are they calling with? If I value bet it's because I feel I'm best and there are hands that can call that I have beat. Both of those prereq's have to be met in my head. Am I wrong? [/ QUOTE ] No where in this hand has villian shown any aggression. I'm betting every chance i get until someone gives me a reason not to.
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