Underpair facing river bet, $200 NL

[djj6835]

Villain is HeroInBlack. I have him at 17/14/3 over only 150 hands. I've basically been getting run over at this table and probably haven't shown down a single winning hand so my image is probably pretty weak. Specifically I think I had dropped about $150+ to HeroInBlack.

Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $1/$2
5 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $314.55
CO: $219.15
Button: $207.15
SB: $193
Hero: $209.25

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is BB with 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
<font color="#cc0000">UTG raises to $8</font>, CO calls, 2 folds, Hero calls.

Flop: 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($25, 3 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks, CO checks.

Turn: 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($25, 3 players)
Hero checks, <font color="#cc0000">UTG bets $22</font>, CO folds, Hero calls.

River: J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($69, 2 players)
Hero checks, <font color="#cc0000">UTG bets $50</font> Hero ??

<font color="blue"> I don't really see what he could have here other than 66. I guess he could have missed a flop check raise with a set or straight draw but other than that my hand looks pretty good.</font>

[pureklas]

Might squeeze this pf. I bet the turn after it gets checked all round. Utg may have bet a flush draw on the turn. Given your image, history and the passive play of the hand I call the river, although im not estatic about it.

[Xanta]

A nitty UTG raiser is almost never firing two barrels UI multiway (well, multiway on the turn, not the river, but you get my point)

He never shows up with A8 or worse for value (thinnest is probably TT) and he rarely bluffs except maybe AK-AJ [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img][img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. I fold this river.

Edit: It's worthwhile noting that his play seems kinda inconsistent, in that he should be leading this flop a high % of the time with hands that he's vbetting turn and river with, which makes it look a little bluffier, but I'm still sticking with a fold.

[Womble]

Im betting this turn a lot

His hand looks like 66/AJ/bluffs on the river, but im not sure what to do. You say hes been running you over so I am more ikely to call but I think its close

[djj6835]

I hate betting the turn since I have a decent draw. Getting raised really sucks. I would be much more likely to bet if the turn was a complete brick.

[biendover]

I call.