tpgk vs monotone flop shove

[nazahl]

standard TAG villain. 20/17/4.5 blah blah blah

Full Tilt Poker, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker Hand History Converter

MP: $238.75
CO: $226.70
BTN: $200
Hero (SB): $398
BB: $89.15
UTG: $246.30

Pre-Flop: Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (SB)
3 folds, <font color="red">BTN raises to $7</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $25</font>, BB folds, BTN calls $18

Flop: ($52) 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $39</font>, <font color="red">BTN raises to $175 and is All-In</font>, Hero calls $136

[nazahl]

ehh was gonna delete this but maybe interesting.

messed around w/ pokerstove some and we're totally boned here like always. pretty clear fold the more I look at it. we're slightly ahead, huge dog like always.

heres the range I used

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40,590 games 0.005 secs 8,118,000 games/sec

Board: 3c 9c Qc
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 28.121% 24.41% 03.71% 9910 1504.50 { KdQh }
Hand 1: 71.879% 68.17% 03.71% 27671 1504.50 { KK+, QdQh, QdQs, QhQs, JcJd, JcJh, JcJs, TcTd, TcTh, TcTs, 99, AcKc, AdQd, AhQh, AsQs, AcJc, KQs, JcTc, AcKd, AcKh, AcKs, AdKc, AhKc, AsKc, AQo, AcJd, AcJh, AcJs, KcQd, KcQh, KcQs }


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ev calcs arent pretty for the call either.

(266)(.28)+(-136)(.72) = -23.44

[pureklas]

The only thing that would have tempted me to call is his 4.5 aggro facor but then how many hands is that over?

[Cc08]

Easy fold IMO. You're behind almost every hand that a standard TAG is making this move with.

[jordiepop]

i like a 3 bet pre ... and i think i have to fold this here