NL50- Small Flush on paired board w/ Action- how's my plan?

[Jeff76]

OK, first reads. MP2 is 23/12, is very aggressive when he's in a pot, can 3bet light, and is a fairly good LAG. He also makes some questionable moves (he pushed $99 into a $20 pot against my c/r yesterday when I had a covering stack and then claimed he had air). The whole reason I am at this table is because I have some good notes on him and was able to get a seat in position.

Not too many reads on SB- he seems solid enough, though he called a bet from me with queen high when I was in the blinds and the board paired- he went to showdown without betting and said "I thought so" when I had to show down my bluff.

My plan here is to fold to a raise from SB, but get it all in against MP2- what do you think?


Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
9 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $36.85
UTG+1: $48.50
MP1: $39.95
MP2: $71.70
Hero: $50
CO: $50
Button: $19
SB: $64.70
BB: $25

Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is MP3 with 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
UTG calls, UTG+1 folds, MP1 calls, <font color="#cc0000">MP2 raises to $2</font>, Hero calls, 2 folds, SB calls, BB folds, UTG calls, MP1 calls.

Flop: 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($10.5, 5 players)
SB checks, UTG checks, MP1 checks, MP2 checks, Hero checks.

Turn: Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($10.5, 5 players)
<font color="#cc0000">SB bets $2</font>, 2 folds, <font color="#cc0000">MP2 raises to $6</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $15</font>

[QTip]

What a puny bet from sb there on the turn...I wonder what that's all about.

Anyway, I like your plan. I'm guessing that MP2 has something like AQ here.

[Berge20]

I'm not comfortable giving MP2 the opportunity to call $9 into $33.5 with a possible pair + lone club draw. I raise more the first time around.

[Jeff76]

[ QUOTE ]
I'm not comfortable giving MP2 the opportunity to call $9 into $33.5 with a possible pair + lone club draw. I raise more the first time around.

[/ QUOTE ]I didn't want to raise more and pot commit myself against a raise from SB, and I believe I am denying MP2 odds since I'll never pay off a flush draw that gets there. Also, given my history with MP2, I didn't expect him to call (I think he pushes or folds).