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Old 07-03-2007, 04:57 PM
SomethingClever SomethingClever is offline
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Default Basketball stat: Scoring variance in win versus loss

Something I was thinking about today: Do most NBA players average fewer points in losses than they do in wins?

It seems obvious, but I bet there are some players that don't. And by the same token, I bet there are some that have a wide gap between what they score in wins versus losses.

Does that mean that a player with a wide gap in his average between wins and losses is the most critical to the team's chances of winning? How strong do you think the correlation is?

Example: Let's say Buck Williams averages 8.5 points in losses, and 8.7 points in wins. But Clyde Drexler averages 29.5 points in wins, and only 22.3 points in losses. Does that make Clyde more or less valuable?
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Old 07-03-2007, 05:02 PM
ThaSaltCracka ThaSaltCracka is offline
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Default Re: Basketball stat: Scoring variance in win versus loss

SC, 82games.com had something a while back that helps answer your question. I don't remember the details but if you go there you could find it.
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Old 07-03-2007, 11:22 PM
btmagnetw btmagnetw is offline
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Default Re: Basketball stat: Scoring variance in win versus loss

so who's more "valuable"

player a scores 40 points a night, every night, with no variance.
player b scores 10 when they win and 2 when they lose.

player a is doing the bulk of the production, but is player b more valuable just because his scoring correlates with winning?
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  #4  
Old 07-03-2007, 11:25 PM
tuq tuq is offline
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Default Re: Basketball stat: Scoring variance in win versus loss

I bet Steve Nash probably has a lot to do with this stat, since he is like the epitome of "winner".
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