*** OFFICIAL 12/02/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***

[MCS]

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Dolphins seem to be a big BSP pick this week; everybody thinks they are finally going to get a win.

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Really? It hasn't seemed like that to me. I have them for 1u either way. I'm looking at market price/DVOA/Sagarin/tea leaves.





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My sample may be biased since I'm in Florida, although these aren't really Dolphins fans that I've heard from.

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I live in New York but haven't heard much from New Yorkers about the game.

[Lori]

My fave NFL scenario is hideous home team against not quite as hideous road team.

I'm a little concerned about all the people who seem to think Miami is not complete crap based on the fact that they've not been slaughtered as they've been fortunate enough to have at least two games on unplayable surfaces which will totally wreck any statistical analysis of their play for the season. However, crap or not, the Jets are pretty much as bad.

However I like my motivation based picks a lot, and given that they can afford to win this, impress the fans (lol) and not screw up #1 draft pick while the Jets have nothing at all of interest to show up for, I'm going to take this.

Less of the Dolphins aren't crap posts though please.

I'll likely be taking STL at -5 or better (hoping for -3) too when the line finally decides to turn up. Similar reasons, although neither team is as bad as these two.

[kyro]

Lorindo,

The Dolphins weren't crap even before the Giants game. I mean, OK, they were crap, but they were like girl crap, and not 300-pound sweaty man crap.

[Enrico Pallazzo]

After the Pittsburgh MNF game and the Giants-Dolphins game before that from the UK, it might be a good idea if someone did a field condition/weather report of each game.

The early weather reports suggest that there could be more sloppy games this weekend. For this slate, WASH, TENN, PHI, KC and CAR might have issues that warrant monitoring.

I'll be at the WASH game, so I'll be paying extra close attention to that one.

[Nonfiction]

Houston +4
Arizona pick em

Like KC +6 but seeing if the line moves a bit more

Also considering Tampa +3.5 but waiting to see if garcia starts

[kyro]

KC is now at +6.5 (-115) at bodog. Unreal, i took the moneyline on them back when it was +5.

[Nonfiction]

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KC is now at +6.5 (-115) at bodog. Unreal, i took the moneyline on them back when it was +5.

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still shows +6 (-105) for me, damn my lines [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]