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  #1  
Old 12-01-2007, 06:22 PM
Lolzor Lolzor is offline
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Posts: 6
Default Set vs push on monochrome flop

Is this an easy fold or is there some value in shoving? Flush seems likely considering his AF or possibly a higher set. What is your line?

Villain is 19/7/0.9 over ~330 hands.

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (5 handed) Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

saw flop

BB ($9)
<font color="#C00000">UTG ($26.90)</font>
MP ($24.35)
Button ($25.60)
<font color="#C00000">Hero ($25.75)</font>

Preflop: Hero is SB with 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $0.85</font>, MP calls $0.85, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero calls $0.75, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>.

Flop: ($2.80) 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $2.45</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $10.15</font>, MP folds, Hero ?
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  #2  
Old 12-01-2007, 06:32 PM
cheer cheer is offline
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Location: thinking everyone is bluffing
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Default Re: Set vs push on monochrome flop

all in
neutral ev vs this guy though.
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  #3  
Old 12-01-2007, 06:52 PM
Triggerle Triggerle is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: What\'s a matter with you, rock?
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Default Re: Set vs push on monochrome flop

I'm not sure if this game plays aggressively enough to push. It is close because you have outs to the board pairing if he has a flush and you are ahead of combo draws and A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]x

If you are not afraid of variance and think you can utilise the image gained by pushing then go ahead and push. Like cheer said you are not really ahead here equity-wise, though.
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  #4  
Old 12-01-2007, 06:58 PM
MatteyA28 MatteyA28 is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Albany
Posts: 225
Default Re: Set vs push on monochrome flop

Villain has a pfr of 7 and is raising utg. this really narrows his range. His range is going to be mostly sets, overpairs and 2 big suited cards that made a flush. There are also probably some AhXx that will be in there but that only furthers your equity.

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 61.941% 60.75% 01.19% 24056 472.50 { 4c4d }
Hand 1: 38.059% 36.87% 01.19% 14599 472.50 { 99+, 77, AhKh, AhQh, AhJh, KhQh }


Pushing should be profitable.
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  #5  
Old 12-02-2007, 02:16 AM
Altreg Altreg is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2006
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Default Re: Set vs push on monochrome flop

insta CRAI
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