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Old 11-04-2007, 03:37 PM
pegboy pegboy is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 432
Default Re: Do I have to push here?

We have limited reads. Here's what we do know...

1)Villain has $36.60 at a $25 buy-in table. He's here to play some poker.
2)Villain called first in at 6max. He's not very good in that regard.
3)Villain called a big PFR from Hero(in the blind). He chose to show no aggression PF and just call, call.
4)Villain sees 3 spades, a Queen, and a descent continuation bet from Hero yet decides to way overbet the pot. The overbet is ridiculous and beyond what is required to make a flush draw error by calling.
5)Villain does not have the nuts.

Call, call, overbet. Q6, Q5, 65, QQ, 55, 66, XYspades all make sense. Qx is dumb and ulikely to provoke such an overbet although anything is within the realm of possibility.

Given what we know I see insufficient evidence that the villain is dumb/crazy enough to stack off with a holding that is inferior to ours. So I fold until his donkiness is more evident later in the hour.
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