Flush vs Nit

Reef · #1 05-25-2007, 12:54 PM

Villian is 18/11 .. NIT, semi agro postflop
effective stacks $490.

Dealt to Hero [Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]] on BTN

3 folds
Hero: raises $8 to $12
SB folds
BB calls $8

*** FLOP *** [K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]] Pot: 24
BB checks
Hero: bets $16
BB calls $16

*** TURN *** [K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]] [9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]] Pot: 58
BB checks
Hero: bets $56
BB calls $56

*** RIVER *** [K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]] [J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]] Pot: 170
BB bets $102
Hero ?
$405 behind

craig1120 · #2 05-25-2007, 12:55 PM

pushes

Edit: I change my answer. Some nits prob just a call. I like mini raise fold to push.

FGators · #3 05-25-2007, 12:56 PM

I would just call...not sure if he calls a push with a hand we beat (possibly a lower flush, he def. folds three Js I think).

Jay Riall · #4 05-25-2007, 01:06 PM

Meh, I just call.

GreatKerblini · #5 05-25-2007, 01:10 PM

I agree with FGators and I would just call in this spot.

However, as a NIT, don't think he leads out that strongly with trips here. Could have caught boat on river, but line doesnt rep 2 pair/set on flop or turn. Will most likely show up here with smaller flush. So push could get paid off.

craig1120 · #6 05-25-2007, 01:13 PM

I doubt lower flush is in range. I think this is AJ 75%+ unless OP rarely double barrels. This is why I think mini raise/fold is sexy but I'm a value monkey.

schwza · #7 05-25-2007, 01:21 PM

i think the only way that villain has AJ is if he has AhJx, and that's only two hands. his line doesn't really make sense for anything he can have (except AhJx). i guess blocking with QT makes some sense too.

i think the best two options are min-raise and fold to a push (getting very good odds) or to just call. i'd min-raise. i think he pays off pretty often and never moves us off the best hand.

GreatKerblini · #8 05-25-2007, 01:40 PM

If I'm min raising here, im calling a push.

GreatKerblini · #9 05-25-2007, 01:41 PM

and if he has Q10, he is most likey raising turn.

schwza · #10 05-25-2007, 02:00 PM

[ QUOTE ]
and if he has Q10, he is most likey raising turn.

[/ QUOTE ]

yeah, but with the exception of AhJx with any hand he is mostly likely doing a lot of things differently.