NL50: TAG limpcalls my raise OOP and calls my cbet

[doppelganger]

I think based on combos alone he's got AJ or a non-set PP far more often than a set on this board. Where are you getting your 50% estimate?

Just bet the turn, no reason to think we're beat here yet and we'll get value from jacks. It's a fairly safe board so I'll go to about $15 and see what he does, most likely calling a push.

Any particular reason you're reading this guy as a TAG over 46 hands with no aggression in his stats?

[Lego05]

I agree that sets are not nearly a veyr big part of his range, however, I likely check the turn here. The reason is against QQ and AJ I expect he'll usually bet the river after I check the turn and then call my shove anyway. And I think checking behind on the turn is more likely to get greater value out of mostly 77-TT but also possibly any nonpaired cards that he might now bluff on the river (specifically AK/AQ.)

[Aquadougs]

Thank you for the answers!

I meant raised preflop, and called my 3bet. Im not used to these NL50 numbers (I usually play NL100).

[thursday]

[ QUOTE ]
I agree that sets are not nearly a veyr big part of his range, however, I likely check the turn here. The reason is against QQ and AJ I expect he'll usually bet the river after I check the turn and then call my shove anyway. And I think checking behind on the turn is more likely to get greater value out of mostly 77-TT but also possibly any nonpaired cards that he might now bluff on the river (specifically AK/AQ.)

[/ QUOTE ]

DING. i like.