AK faces overbet on the flop

Kimpan · #1 11-06-2007, 08:16 AM

I hate these spots.. I can't see him doing it with a set, a flushdraw seems more likely.
Haven't seen him done this before.
Pot is small I know..

PartyPoker $200 NL Hold'em (6 handed) HandRecorder v0.9b

Stacks & Stats
MP ($266.65)
BU ($347.88) (49/14/2.80/25) (113h)
SB ($299.53)
BB ($49)
UTG ($110.93)
Hero ($226)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
1 folds, MP calls $2, Hero raises to $10, BU calls $10, 3 folds.

Flop: ($25) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets $17, BU raises to $334, Hero....

primate · #2 11-06-2007, 08:18 AM

another one of these......1st

Mike MacIntosh · #3 11-06-2007, 08:29 AM

Need 44% equity to break even on a call.

Ridiculously Tight Range:

Board: Kc 5c Th
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 15.539% 15.31% 00.23% 1819 27.00 { AhKd }
Hand 1: 84.461% 84.23% 00.23% 10007 27.00 { KhKs, TcTd, 5h5s, KTs, Kd5d, Kh5h, Ks5s, KTo, Kd5h, Kd5s, Kh5s }

Slight Looser Range (adding 16 combos of QJ):

Board: Kc 5c Th
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 45.862% 45.76% 00.10% 12686 27.00 { AhKd }
Hand 1: 54.138% 54.04% 00.10% 14980 27.00 { KhKs, TcTd, 5h5s, KTs, Kd5d, Kh5h, Ks5s, QJs, KTo, Kd5h, Kd5s, Kh5s, QJo }

Even under the most ridiculous situations this is a call.

scyth01 · #4 11-06-2007, 08:29 AM

seems like a push with flush/straight draw i fold here

Mike MacIntosh · #5 11-06-2007, 08:38 AM

[ QUOTE ]
seems like a push with flush/straight draw i fold here

[/ QUOTE ]

We should always fold when we have an equity advantage against our opponent.

Kimpan · #6 11-06-2007, 10:39 AM

so it's a call?

duckyfuzz · #7 11-06-2007, 11:06 AM

Ya I call expecting to see draws more then monsters.

primate · #8 11-07-2007, 03:53 AM

Only combo besides set/2pair we're scared of is OESFD. Even then we're 50/50. Not best of spots but not the worst. Against villain with those stats this is a call. you also have some of villains possible outs for the straight draw.

Call IMO.

orange · #9 11-07-2007, 03:57 AM

calls