#1
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25NL I followed my read, is it -ev ?
Vilain was 49/5/1.7 over 62 hands.
I put him on a flush draw and called but I wonder if it's +ev. Against a FD and two overs, it's 70/30 and against a ten it's 5/95. Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.10/$0.25 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter) Hero (SB): $26.10 BB: $7.70 UTG: $23.80 CO: $29.10 BTN: $27.10 Preflop: Hero is dealt 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (5 Players) 3 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $0.75</font>, BB calls $0.50 Flop: ($1.50) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">Hero bets $1.00</font>, BB calls $1.00 Turn: ($3.50) 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players) Hero checks, <font color="red">BB bets all-in for $5.95</font>, Hero calls $5.95 |
#2
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Re: 25NL I followed my read, is it -ev ?
Well, he's 49/5, so he's a moron, so that's fine.
And he's definitely not playing like he has a T; that's a big overbet and it looks scared. He wants you out of the hand. I think this is played fine. |
#3
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Re: 25NL I followed my read, is it -ev ?
Pot the flop you dont want him to draw.
It is highly unlikely that the turn 3 has made him a better hand, therefore pot it again. |
#4
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Re: 25NL I followed my read, is it -ev ?
Bet $1 or more PF (even push vs. short BB is good)...your best result is a PF fold. I'm not sure villain's turn push would convince me of a FD here and if I based it on the flop action I would continue betting on the turn.
Biggest mistake: posting river action and results |
#5
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Re: 25NL I followed my read, is it -ev ?
[ QUOTE ]
Biggest mistake: posting river action and results [/ QUOTE ] Oops. Edited. |
#6
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Re: 25NL I followed my read, is it -ev ?
49/5/1.7
These are very loose but not aggressive stats. Even though the pot was raised preflop his chances of having a 3 or T aren't that greatly reduced right? (I don't really know). But he is showing a lot of aggression postflop right here. I question whether you have his range beaten that well. It's probably not a horrendous call since he is a donk and your river check shows weakness. |
#7
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Re: 25NL I followed my read, is it -ev ?
i call here all day
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#8
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Re: 25NL I followed my read, is it -ev ?
raise 1.00 preflop
pot the flop get his short stack in on the turn. |
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