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Old 10-17-2007, 11:38 AM
Ansky Ansky is offline
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Default Re: A5s in blind battle.

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I am advocating using reasonable expectations for various scenarios as a sort of alarm system to warn oneself that you are drifting into murkier and murkier risk-invested waters.


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Yeah see, that is terrible. Really it is.

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In my experience (which admittedly does not include high-level live play),

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I'm not surprised. What do you typically play?

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what prevents very many good players from becoming great players is that they are not very good at perceiving relative risk.

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There are a lot of things which keep a good player from becoming a great player, whatever the [censored] you just mentioned is certainly not one of them.

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They are good at obtaining an edge in a hand (reading an opponent, tactical play, bet sizing, etc), but they are not good at perceiving that their incurred risk is excessive relative to the avg opp they can expect in their current M-bracket (and other relative opp metrics).

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ev ev ev ev ev ev ev ev ev ev ev ev ev

... is all that matters. Variance control? lol.

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If what you said was correct for tournament play, then why wouldn't one always attempt escalate the stakes to playing for stacks for even the tiniest perceived EV+ ?

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I would generally pass up VERY small edges, but nothing too sizable.

What is your knowledge based on Baltostar if you don't mind me asking?
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