My toughest hand of this week (9/04)

[Clayton]

In getting back into the NL cash game groove, I am reading more and posting a lot less. So maybe my posts will have more value. I hope :P

Villain in the hand is TiltedD, and he's got 6 buyins on the table. Only notes on him besides numbers (41/13/5 over 100 hands) are that he bets halfish pot out of position weakly when his holding is marginal, he has felted to a flop 3bet on a Q94 two hearts flop with QTo, and he is wildly aggressive. I am semi deep and my image is 28/15/4 and i am playing very aggressively as well.

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $1/$2
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $50.65
UTG+1: $192
CO: $194
Button: $105
SB: $1320.45
Hero: $309.80

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is BB with T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
UTG calls, 3 folds, SB calls, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $8</font>, UTG folds, SB calls.

Flop: 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($18, 2 players)
SB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $14</font>, <font color="#cc0000">SB raises to $54</font>, Hero calls.

Turn: J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($126, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">SB bets $126</font>

[Keepitsimple]

I fold to that bet. You told him you meant business when you called the raise on the flop.

[all_in_lam]

i think its a fold

[ArturiusX]

I fold, thats really strong.

[Gary Stevenson]

yeesh, with those stats/images for both of you it makes it quite a bit tougher. though i'm a nit, so i'd probably let it go...

[Clayton]

[ QUOTE ]
yeesh, with those stats/images for both of you it makes it quite a bit tougher.

[/ QUOTE ]

okay, we're getting somewhere.

first off, with my flop line, what can he safely put me on? probably an overpair, with AA/KK slightly less likely. also rarely an eight or fullboat on flop, but I will just call the 3bet on the flop with these holdings a decent percentage of the time.

what do I put him on? really, an eight or nothing. i dont think he has an overpair or a fullboat, because he would use different lines preflop and on the flop.

so, its a matter of either him having an eight and trying to stack an overpair, or him repping an eight and trying to push off a marginal holding like tens.

i decided the latter was more likely given his betting patterns and raised.

[Lefort]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
yeesh, with those stats/images for both of you it makes it quite a bit tougher.

[/ QUOTE ]

okay, we're getting somewhere.

first off, with my flop line, what can he safely put me on? probably an overpair, with AA/KK slightly less likely. also rarely an eight or fullboat on flop, but I will just call the 3bet on the flop with these holdings a decent percentage of the time.

what do I put him on? really, an eight or nothing. i dont think he has an overpair or a fullboat, because he would use different lines preflop and on the flop.

so, its a matter of either him having an eight and trying to stack an overpair, or him repping an eight and trying to push off a marginal holding like tens.

i decided the latter was more likely given his betting patterns and raised.

[/ QUOTE ]

Pretty sure I push that turn against this type of opponent. This is where its nice to know how often he CR's flops... If he rarely CR's you know he's got an 8 but if his CR% is big, you know he likes to CR-bluff..

[Requin]

[ QUOTE ]
so, its a matter of either him having an eight and trying to stack an overpair, or him repping an eight and trying to push off a marginal holding like tens.

i decided the latter was more likely given his betting patterns and raised.

[/ QUOTE ] Why would you raise if you think it's air or the nuts...

[Clayton]

[ QUOTE ]
Why would you raise if you think it's air or the nuts...

[/ QUOTE ]

To potentially fold out a jack and not let a random facecard/ace draw freely. also, just calling on this turn just doesnt seem right imo. that was my thought process on the turn re: calling or raising. this is another good debatable point.

also, with this guy having $1200 in front and being LAG, I think once in a blue moon he really is capable of shoving the river here with 99/77-44 or a bluff.

[wpr101]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
so, its a matter of either him having an eight and trying to stack an overpair, or him repping an eight and trying to push off a marginal holding like tens.

i decided the latter was more likely given his betting patterns and raised.

[/ QUOTE ] Why would you raise if you think it's air or the nuts...

[/ QUOTE ]

Very nice point.

Against a typical opponent this should be a clear fold. With the opponent in this hand the decision seems tougher.