#41
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Re: Week 12 NCAA Early Lines Thread
I haven't actually bet any games yet this week since I've got a check on the way from Stars and if it gets here in time, I'll probably want to put some money on Matchbook instead of taking Bodog's [censored] lines on everything, but I just wanted to say that I really like Nevada at +7.5.
The toughest teams Hawaii has played on the road thus far were SJSU and La. Tech and they went to OT against both. Nevada's better than either of them and has a bye going into the short week. Also, the temperature is supposed to be in the mid-40s by kickoff and there's a good chance that Hawaii will be looking ahead to the showdown with Boise State next week. I think a fair line for this game is somewhere around Hawaii -2.5. |
#42
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Re: Week 12 NCAA Early Lines Thread
also, Brennan might not be at full strength--he took a massive hit last week
actually, Hawai'i will start to be banged up as Fresno is a real physical opponent and Nevada will test them stopping the run alot It might be a good time to start a chase system betting on MLs for Hawai'i's opponents think how often a team has run a gauntlet of 4 challenging games this season---I can think of zero |
#43
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Re: Week 12 NCAA Early Lines Thread
Kelly Martingale against Hawaii this week for X units LDO
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#44
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Re: Week 12 NCAA Early Lines Thread
Iggy,
Can you believe this Oregon line movement? Down to 11 some places. Any idea why? Injury perhaps? |
#45
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Re: Week 12 NCAA Early Lines Thread
Nothing serious. Dixon and Dickson both got a little banged up against ASU but neither one is expected to miss the Arizona game.
I'd love to write it off as people overrating Arizona due to their conference record, their big win over Oregon last year, and their two-game winning streak, but the way it's moving so much faster at the "sharp books" is worrying me a little bit. I'll still bet Oregon, but I'm probably not going to make it a huge play or anything. |
#46
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Re: Week 12 NCAA Early Lines Thread
arizona.
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#47
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Re: Week 12 NCAA Early Lines Thread
What do you guys think about the u79 in Hawaii vs. Nevada, im already on it for a unit just wondering what others think
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#48
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Re: Week 12 NCAA Early Lines Thread
Tulsa/Army Under 63.5 1 Unit
UCF/SMU Under 72.5 1 Unit California/Washington Under 58 1 Unit Ohio St/Michigan Under 49 1 Unit Miami/Virginia Tech Over 42 1 Unit Pittsburgh/Rutgers Over 49 1 Unit |
#49
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Re: Week 12 NCAA Early Lines Thread
Ladies and gentlemen, this is how you make money wagering on sporting events:
Arkansas -9.5 Cincinnati +7 North Carolina +10.5 South Florida -6.5 Nevada +7.5 Clemson -6 LSU -18 Tulsa -14 And this is how you LOSE money wagering on sporting events: Oregon -13.5 had to hold my nose as I typed that [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img] |
#50
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Re: Week 12 NCAA Early Lines Thread
First bet of the week (dodged a bullet on Oregon):
Hawaii at Nevada +210 (Risk 1.5u to win 3.15u) |
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