set of 7s! yeaaaah

[Jonezycat]

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Fold preflop.. Your losing money in the long run calling. Even in position calling is marginal at best.

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Not true. It's 12 to call and I think (to_call x 12) is about the stack size we want him to have. He has a stack > 12x12 left so even as a pure setmine this is a call PF.

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You're right not true, but for me thats only because I wouldnt be playing my 7's just to setmine in this situation.

If you were playing your sevens for a pure setmine, then the reason you gave why it's not true isn't right, just because he has a stack size over 12X12, we DON'T. So, the effective stack is what we need to be looking at for a setmine, not the biggest stack.

[orange]

fold pf, raise flop to 30ish, shove the river.

[tubasteve]

how is folding pf good for 12 more with 180 behind

[Inf1n1tY]

raise the flop

the math tells me to call pf:
you need to call 12 to win 32
if you expect to get half of the effective stack on average when you hit you get ~110.
12 to 110 or ~10.9%
p(set)=2/50+2/49+2/48
p(set)=~0.122 , ~12,2%
EV=(0.122)*(110)+(0.878)*(-12)
EV=$12.37

if you assume to get half of his stack on average when you hit its a call.