I take a free card...

[thepizzlefosho]

villain is 37/22/2.42 (WTSD only 22% but that is over 98hands) has been caught raising suited crap from the first two spots. I feel like I'm ahead of his range pf, but I thought the parlay of picking up 4 outs on the turn to improve, plus not wanting to get c/r'd made this a good spot to take a free card. Should I be barreling again here?


Full Tilt Poker $5/$10 Limit Hold'em - 6 players
Hand Converter Tool from DeucesCracked.com

Preflop: Hero is Button with K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
[color=#FF0000]UTG raises</font>, MP folds, CO folds, [color=#FF0000]Hero 3-bets</font>, SB folds, BB folds, UTG calls.

Flop: (7.50 SB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] [color=#0000FF](2 players)</font>
UTG checks, [color=#FF0000]Hero bets</font>, UTG calls.

Turn: (4.75 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] [color=#0000FF](2 players)</font>
UTG checks, Hero checks.

[ZOMG_RIGGED!]

Hard to imagine what you're ahead of except low suited cards. Will he fold an ace on the turn here? If you check, i think he's betting about 95% of the time. do you plan on calling a brick turn?

Not sure what the proper move is here. Tough for him to call with any hand you beat, and I think he'll CR a bunch of stuff. I puke a little if he CR, but would love to see the river.

[Backstabr]

Bet/call. I probably bet/fold most rivers.

On the turn, you have a lot of outs, so he doesn't have to fold very often for a bet to be right. If you believe he's c/ring the turn a lot, check.

With his high AF/low WTSD, you can get folds on the big streets from weak aces and PPs.

[Oink]

[ QUOTE ]
With his high AF/low WTSD, you can get folds on the big streets from weak aces and PPs.

[/ QUOTE ]

His "low" wtsd is after 98 hands. Making decisions based on his wtsd after so few hands is terrible!

Getting folds from pp's is not happening. There isnt a lot of "weak" aces in villains range as he opened UTG.

You are right that Hero dont need a fold very often to make a bet correct. Problem is that he wont get that fold very often. A semi bluff on this turn is targeting a very narrow range of hands like A6s and A5s.


@ Pizzle.

I check as well. Turn is good and bad for you. A lot of suited broadways improved but you also picked up an extra draw.

[nerdking]

don't hate the freecard but we have to call the river donk that is coming. raise the T (ldo) I might even raise the K or Q here. I don't fold to a bet on the river with KQ against this guy, though.

[thepizzlefosho]

[ QUOTE ]
don't hate the freecard but we have to call the river donk that is coming. raise the T (ldo) I might even raise the K or Q here. I don't fold to a bet on the river with KQ against this guy, though.

[/ QUOTE ]

really? It is only going to be a 5.75-1 call on the river and the guy could easily have any part of that board or an A. The only hand I'm beating is KT. I think it is a pretty easy fold UI on the river.

[shat4brains]

i think i would bet here hes the type of player who might fold a lot of aces especially since u took the iniciative by 3 betting preflop and even if he does call u still have like 21% equity vs Ax