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#1
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Re: [50 NL] KK, Villain shoves turn scare card
I think it's a set of jacks/tens or AQs more often than a bluff, but I suppose AsKx or AsAx might play the turn this way on a semibluff.
This deep I think it's probably a fold unfortunately. |
#2
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Re: [50 NL] KK, Villain shoves turn scare card
i agree, with villian playing OOP you have to put him on a semi bluff flush draw after the flop or JJ TT, i dont think he would mess around in the position unless he knew he was holding the nuts.
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#3
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Re: [50 NL] KK, Villain shoves turn scare card
If this is a set I wonder why villain wouldn't have shoved or c/r'd this on flop. Cold call and then shove just seems like a strage line. Could be a made flush especially with his numbers. I also believe that AsJx is not out of the questions. This is a tough spot that I probably fold crying. It's closer than you think though look at these numbers and check villains range, again I didn't include sets in the range just doesn't seem possible.
8,910 games 0.410 secs 21,731 games/sec Board: 3h Ts Js Dead: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 43.990% 43.84% 00.15% 3906 13.50 { KdKh } Hand 1: 56.010% 55.86% 00.15% 4977 13.50 { AcAs, AdAs, AhAs, AsKs, AsQs, KsQs, AsJc, AsJd, AsJh } |
#4
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Re: [50 NL] KK, Villain shoves turn scare card
I reasoned as follows:
By limp-reraise I've pretty much told him what range I am in (something like QQ+, AK, or complete air) so when he calls I put him either on a pretty high pair himself (99+, maybe AK, AQ. Don't really think he would play AJ here). When he calls my flop bet he could either have something like AQs or a set. I don't really see anything else here, except maybe QQ+, so when he shoves turn I put him on a set which got nervous I might draw out if the 4th spade hits and he doesn't have one, or a made flush. Is there anything else I should account for here or something I've missed? |
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