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#2
11-19-2007, 04:30 PM
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Re: $100nl: I squeeze with KK, flop brings an ace
[ QUOTE ]
So, are you putting him on exactly AQ or AK ? [/ QUOTE ] Your pot odds assuming you get all in are 132.5:75.5, you need to win > 36% of the time. I think you find AA, AK, or AQ over QQ, JJ, or TT more than 64% of the time here, as long as he doesn't think you're 3-betting light and trying to push QQ-TT for value. Unfortunately b/f here is not an option with the pot odds, so I say you either c/f to a strong bet, or value bet and call if necessary. At least then he puts some money in with QQ, JJ, etc. 
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#4
11-20-2007, 03:40 AM
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Re: $100nl: I squeeze with KK, flop brings an ace
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I think check/shove is fine, I think villain can have 66 - TT here. [/ QUOTE ] What does the shove accomplish? He'll call with an ace and fold everything we beat.
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#5
11-20-2007, 04:19 AM
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Re: $100nl: I squeeze with KK, flop brings an ace
he only has like $30 after he bets when checked to on the flop, more than likely if he bets he's not folding for $30 more...and if he does, oh well, we got like 2/3 of his stack
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#6
11-20-2007, 04:25 AM
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Re: $100nl: I squeeze with KK, flop brings an ace
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he only has like $30 after he bets when checked to on the flop, more than likely if he bets he's not folding for $30 more...and if he does, oh well, we got like 2/3 of his stack [/ QUOTE ] Oops, missed villains stacksize. I don't mind it with that little left.
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#7
11-20-2007, 09:17 AM
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Re: $100nl: I squeeze with KK, flop brings an ace
21/10 means he's only raising 10% of his hand, which is not going to exclusively be the upper part of his range. Basically he will call 3-bet's with AK and AQ. However, in general I think a pf line of raise/call is far more indicative of a pocket pair (and Ace-Jack).
If we include his pfr 88-99 then we have 51 combos, with stil only 21 beating us (or 41%)... so this should be fine itlr ?
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#8
11-20-2007, 04:17 AM
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Re: $100nl: I squeeze with KK, flop brings an ace
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] So, are you putting him on exactly AQ or AK ? [/ QUOTE ] I think you find AA, AK, or AQ over QQ, JJ, or TT more than 64% of the time here, as long as he doesn't think you're 3-betting light and trying to push QQ-TT for value. [/ QUOTE ] AA 3 combos AK 6 combos AQ 12 combos QQ-TT 18 combos 39 total combos, 21 of which have us beat, which is 53%. the question is, how often is he betting QQ-TT when we check to him
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