FT hand AQo vs possible resteal

[AceofSpades]

Full Tilt Poker, NL Hold'em Tournament, 15,000/30,000 Blinds, 4,000 Ante, 5 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

SB: 334,496
BB: 269,124
UTG: 421,711
CO: 406,490
Hero (BTN): 1,580,179

Pre-Flop: (65,000) Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN)
<font color="red">UTG raises to 70,000</font>, <font color="red">CO raises to 402,490 and is All-In</font>, Hero ?

kmoon (CO) has been frequently restealing (3-4 times) against UTG and UTG always folds, however mostly that has been in later position.

is this a snap call with AQo or a fold?

FWIW: blinds have been pretty easy to steal, except when kmoon raises alot.

[tomek322]

with your stack I call... with 500k I fold.

[BarryLyndon]

[ QUOTE ]
with your stack I call... with 500k I fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

Sounds good.

[levAA]

If UTG was a restealing victim sometimes earlier and raises now UTG i would give him credit for having a hand.

I think your AQ is too weak here - i'd fold and watch one of them busting out. you still have 2 small stacks on the table and a comfortable chip-lead - so no need to seek small edges.

[semu]

Well the problem isn't just the all in raise here. I think that you should worry about the UTG raiser also. It's a thought decision but you have enough chips so call and pray UTG doesn't make an insta call.

[BarryLyndon]

You will still have a big chip lead over those two small stacks if you miss.
It's 5 handed and the blinds / antes are big. UTG = CO - 1.
UTG has not been playing tight, so his range could include mid pairs (88+) and AJ.
UTG may very well call the three bet with the lower end of the range, but will definitely fold that against when you push.
The three bet could be A10 or AJ given stack sizes.
The implications re: pwnage are pretty beautiful if you win.
If you lose, as long as you have control over the table and don't [censored] tilt, you are fine.
There is already some overlay in the pot.

Barry

Barry

[The_Taj]

I call. If you win the hand you can pwn the tourney. Lose the hand you still have plenty of chips. I think AQ is ahead of CO's range here. I think he's pushing any A/9 or higher, KQ, small pairs. if he has AK/AA/KK/QQ you still have 3 outs against 3 of those hands. I think your stack size is the biggest determinant in the call though.

[TheBenfer]

Tough decision. I'm worried about the UTG player. It looks like you are deep in the tourney, so I would assume he's not an idiot. If the CO has been re-stealing, I have to think he's noticed and might be setting something up. If UTG is strong, you are probably behind.

But, looking at it this way -

If UTG is serious and calls you are getting 2:1 on your investment. The only other problem is that one (or both) of your opponents may be sitting on your remaining As or Qs, so it may weaken you against the other.

If UTG folds, you are likely ahead of CO, but just getting 1:1 odds, so you NEED to be ahead to make this a positive play. And if he happened to wake up and get a hand this time you could be in trouble.

Winning the pot gives you a nice stack, but you already have one. I say let them fight it out and wait for a better spot to get your chips in.

Of course, I'm a newbie around here, so what do I know? Feel free to comment if I'm way off base.