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#1
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Re: 50nl: 3bet pot with 98s
pf is pretty aggro vs a UTG 15% pfrer but tbh it prob is +EV, it's just most people don't bother with it down here.
agree that if you bet F and T he prob has to fold an underpair most of the time. but you also stack yourself vs an ace a lot too, which is about 50% of his range (17 combos including AA). petty marginal imo. |
#2
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Re: 50nl: 3bet pot with 98s
I dont mind pf especially if he has been active. I dont like betting the turn though. Like bozzer said, you will run into an ace fairly often. However, I will go even further. Im not convinced that youre folding out an underpair often enough either. A stubborn JJ/QQ could show up often enough also to make this a very bad move.
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#3
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Re: 50nl: 3bet pot with 98s
[ QUOTE ]
pf is pretty aggro vs a UTG 15% pfrer but tbh it prob is +EV, it's just most people don't bother with it down here. agree that if you bet F and T he prob has to fold an underpair most of the time. but you also stack yourself vs an ace a lot too, which is about 50% of his range (17 combos including AA). petty marginal imo. [/ QUOTE ] Bozzer, i think he has more PP combos than you think. I count around 40 cause ppl love to set mine, right? Basically i have no clue how often a TAG @ 50nl folds underpairs [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img] |
#4
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Re: 50nl: 3bet pot with 98s
if you bet 10bb or CRAI he have something like 60% FE(thats if he calls only with 55+,and A/10+ and d0nt call with flush draw)
When you push flop vs. that range you have -ev(-7.4bb,if you wanna know how much) When you bet 10bb on that flop your ev is +5.8bb on that play but if he calls your flop c-bet(and i think he calls with flush draws 2),you commited 2 2nd burrell on the turn This is why i asked b4,how is hes turn play.Cause i think delayed bluff on the turn its you rbest option here |
#5
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Re: 50nl: 3bet pot with 98s
[ QUOTE ]
if you bet 10bb or CRAI he have something like 60% FE(thats if he calls only with 55+,and A/10+ and d0nt call with flush draw) When you push flop vs. that range you have -ev(-7.4bb,if you wanna know how much) When you bet 10bb on that flop your ev is +5.8bb on that play but if he calls your flop c-bet(and i think he calls with flush draws 2),you commited 2 2nd burrell on the turn This is why i asked b4,how is hes turn play.Cause i think delayed bluff on the turn its you rbest option here [/ QUOTE ]O RLY? Gotta double barrel IMO. |
#6
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Re: 50nl: 3bet pot with 98s
yeah i dont know what his flop/turn stats are
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