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Old 05-05-2007, 12:54 PM
henrix77 henrix77 is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2005
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Default Probability Help

I must first preface the question with an apology if this is incredibly standard...I'm not a math expert by any means, so I figured if I wanted a good answer, I'd come to those who were.

Anyway, suppose you are playing a game in which you have a 45.5% chance of a win, a 45.5% chance of a loss, and a 9% chance of a tie. For the sake of argument, let's assume that everyone playing this game has these odds as everyone plays optimally.

Now, what are the odds that over a sample of 150 games, you'd see two six game losing streaks, and also an eleven game losing streak? I'm not only curious about the answer, but the method used to find it. Any help is appreciated. Thanks.
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