***Official Tour de France thread***

[Arnfinn Madsen]

[ QUOTE ]
Landis down to +533 at Pinnacle from somewhere near +700 I think.

What do you think Kloden's odds should be in the new market?

Edit: Landis down to +470. About +300 he's going to run out of value imo.

[/ QUOTE ]

I have not followed them so closely this year, so can't give exact odds. +470 still seems like a bargain though and I guess Klöden could defend 7-1 or something.

[Ortho]

Pinnacle now closed.

[Kneel B4 Zod]

well I'm glad I got up early this morning [img]/images/graemlins/smirk.gif[/img]

here is what I got, hopefully the book (players only, a sportbook.com site) won't cancel the bets


Iban Mayo
80-1

Alexander Vinokourov
8-1

Michael Rasmussen
40-1

Alejandro Valverde
7-1

Andreas Kloeden
40-1

Floyd Landis
8-1

[Arnfinn Madsen]

I think your Vinokourov bet is -EV, but the others more than compensate [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img].

[Kneel B4 Zod]

[ QUOTE ]
I think your Vinokourov bet is -EV, but the others more than compensate [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img].

[/ QUOTE ]

just like that, I'm the world biggest Iban Mayo fan [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

[Arnfinn Madsen]

[ QUOTE ]

just like that, I'm the world biggest Iban Mayo fan [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

Still considering Mayo, but he has a couple of weaknesses. He sucks at time trials and he often does a bad mountain stage the day after a good one (guess that how it is when you are clean [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]). Thus I think he is near chanceless.

[Ortho]

[ QUOTE ]
here is what I got, hopefully the book (players only, a sportbook.com site) won't cancel the bets

[/ QUOTE ]

How do you think this will go if they do? I, of course, intend to lay most of my bets back off in the new market but want to make sure whether I have action on these before I do. Will they tell you that there's no action before the event starts? There aren't any books that will wait until after, are there? I want to keep myself from holding the bag on the winner.

[Kneel B4 Zod]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
here is what I got, hopefully the book (players only, a sportbook.com site) won't cancel the bets

[/ QUOTE ]

How do you think this will go if they do? I, of course, intend to lay most of my bets back off in the new market but want to make sure whether I have action on these before I do. Will they tell you that there's no action before the event starts? There aren't any books that will wait until after, are there? I want to keep myself from holding the bag on the winner.

[/ QUOTE ]

who knows. most reputable places would let the bets go, but some may call "no action" in the next couple of hours or something, and return the bets...but this would be pretty shady. I'm just guessing here, I really don't know.

[Ortho]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
here is what I got, hopefully the book (players only, a sportbook.com site) won't cancel the bets

[/ QUOTE ]

How do you think this will go if they do? I, of course, intend to lay most of my bets back off in the new market but want to make sure whether I have action on these before I do. Will they tell you that there's no action before the event starts? There aren't any books that will wait until after, are there? I want to keep myself from holding the bag on the winner.

[/ QUOTE ]

who knows. most reputable places would let the bets go, but some may call "no action" in the next couple of hours or something, and return the bets...but this would be pretty shady. I'm just guessing here, I really don't know.

[/ QUOTE ]

So by this standard, if it would be pretty shady to not call "no action" if they're going to when they remake the market later today, then it would be downright fraudulent to wait until the event starts to do so, I'm guessing.

[Arnfinn Madsen]

Seems like the riders won't be replaced, so Vinokourov is basically chanceless.