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Old 11-30-2007, 03:12 PM
Check_The_Nuts Check_The_Nuts is offline
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Default Re: River value bet in BB vs BTN

check, he won't try to bluff you I wouldn't worry about it too much.

edit: As in the only thing he's likely to valuebet on the river here is AK, and if he's attention to steal is high at all he'll probably figure he gets looked up too often if he's got 66 or whatever.
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Old 11-30-2007, 03:18 PM
Check_The_Nuts Check_The_Nuts is offline
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Default Re: River value bet in BB vs BTN

see, look:

Board: Ks Td 8c Qh 2d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 73.684% 57.89% 15.79% 33 9.00 { 22, AKs, KJs, K9s, AKo, KJo }
Hand 1: 26.316% 10.53% 15.79% 6 9.00 { KJs }

He only has to be thin valuebetting K9 to make this a call if he bets something like 1/2 pot. Add in any bluffs at all and it makes it a snap call.

k9soooted. If he's betting all K9's then its an easy call. If you valuebet your only really getting called by K9 AQ maybe QJ. I doubt he'd even look you up with JJ or Q9. Seems to thin if he's aggro at all. Actually if he calls with any QJ then the vbet isn't thin at all. If he does then your making mad money. Could do something like half pot and hope that he doesn't bluff raise you.
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