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  #31  
Old 12-01-2007, 01:41 PM
trixtrix trixtrix is offline
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Default Re: the proof is in the pudding

put me down @ -150 giving op a chance to win 6k more
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  #32  
Old 12-01-2007, 01:44 PM
MyTurn2Raise MyTurn2Raise is offline
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Default Re: the proof is in the pudding

[ QUOTE ]
From the FAQ:

# What is the highest sustainable win rate in point spread betting?
# Generally, somewhere in the 55%-60% range is considered the maximum that is sustainable. However, if you start approaching the higher end of that range, you are probably passing up some +EV wagers.



(emphasis added)



Not to say anything about sample size, yadda yadda.

No one says its "impossible" to pick 60%.

[/ QUOTE ]

exactly...I was 24-8 my first full year posting football ATS picks on 2p2 because it was only my best plays

even today as I'm a .500 warrior, my POTW's posted on 2p2 are 27-15 IIRC




also, if you are thelyingthief, where is the loss for Wisconsin @ Penn St? That is the game where I came across and tried to discuss things with you, so it kind of sticks out in my mind.
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  #33  
Old 12-01-2007, 01:48 PM
Performify Performify is offline
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Location: Sports Betting forum
Posts: 3,847
Default Re: the proof is in the pudding

[ QUOTE ]
such a howl and crescendo..

yes, indeed, the whole gist of the post was missed; and, in being missed, underscored...


[/ QUOTE ]

So enlighten us, oh masterful picker of the 61% rate. What exactly was the point?

You post a 19-game sample.

My opening five weeks from the NFL last year (Performify's Pigskin Picks, through Week 5, all posted on this forum, all against Widely Available lines and all with units tracked and posted before games):


9-5-1. Excluding the tie, that's a 64.2% win percentage. If you take through week six, seventeen games, it drops to a measly 59%. What does a small sample prove?

What if you even jump to the end of both seasons and look at my total weighted record? I've got publicly available picks against widely available lines for the last two seasons, winning seasons both, against WA lines (i'll repeat). But still, what does it matter?

If you want to jump to MMA, something that doesn't directly compare to spread picks, but still, I'm 18-8 up double digit units for the last four events. Weeee, variance is fun!


So back to the matter, what's your point?

Are you disappointed that you're not being welcomed as an expert, and still seeking that affection and respect that you crave?

Did you miss the parade we threw in your honor the first week you arrived? Or the key to the forums which Sklansky himself enscribed and presented?

Truly, you are god's gift to handicappers and we shall shower you with adoration every time you weigh in on a post.

-P
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  #34  
Old 12-01-2007, 01:52 PM
Thremp Thremp is offline
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Default Re: the proof is in the pudding

I posted a thread earlier about how variance had my ROI 4x what it should've been. WHERES MY LOVE?
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  #35  
Old 12-01-2007, 02:00 PM
NajdorfDefense NajdorfDefense is offline
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Location: Manhattan
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Default Re: the proof is in the pudding

Holy crap I've never seen Perf totally clown someone like that in almost 5 years. Where has this talent been hiding?

I didn't get invited to the parade. Where was it again?
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  #36  
Old 12-01-2007, 02:05 PM
B00T B00T is offline
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Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 3,011
Default Re: the proof is in the pudding

[ QUOTE ]
I posted a thread earlier about how variance had my ROI 4x what it should've been. WHERES MY LOVE?

[/ QUOTE ]

nobody cares about you, ldo


it's about time Performify takes his turn in what people do best around here
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  #37  
Old 12-01-2007, 02:05 PM
MicroBob MicroBob is offline
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Default Re: the proof is in the pudding

I went 4 for 4 the opening week of the NFL.

IIRC I think I went 10 for 12 or something ridiculous the opening week of the NCAA-F season.
I posted all those picks on here.

Evidently, I should only be betting in opening weeks.
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  #38  
Old 12-01-2007, 02:18 PM
gila gila is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: IN
Posts: 1,740
Default Re: the proof is in the pudding

[ QUOTE ]
I went 4 for 4 the opening week of the NFL.

IIRC I think I went 10 for 12 or something ridiculous the opening week of the NCAA-F season.
I posted all those picks on here.

Evidently, I should only be betting in opening weeks.

[/ QUOTE ]

Or become a tout after opening week!
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  #39  
Old 12-01-2007, 02:23 PM
MyTurn2Raise MyTurn2Raise is offline
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Default Re: the proof is in the pudding

LESSON: If you are very selective about your bets, you can hit alot of them.....Thremp already showed us this a few weeks ago


My personal problem with your post is that you are cherry-picking your 'picks'...ie outright lying
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  #40  
Old 12-01-2007, 02:26 PM
Thremp Thremp is offline
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Default Re: the proof is in the pudding

That was a pretty sick burn. Ups P.
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