looks like Santana is gone next season

tarheeljks · #1 08-01-2007, 02:30 PM

http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=2956943

MafiaPrince · #2 08-01-2007, 03:54 PM

it's scary to think what he will make on an open market..

NT! · #3 08-01-2007, 04:04 PM

please god don't let the yankees sign him

please god don't let the yankees sign him

please god don't let the yankees sign him

Vyse · #4 08-01-2007, 04:05 PM

Even if they would've added the whole world, Santana would have to be stupid to stay.

I'd give Johan $30m/yr over four years.

Needle77 · #5 08-01-2007, 04:07 PM

[ QUOTE ]
please god don't let the yankees sign him

please god don't let the yankees sign him

please god don't let the yankees sign him

[/ QUOTE ]

Pirates FTW. Gorzelanny, Morris, Snell, Santana.

Benholio · #6 08-01-2007, 04:08 PM

He'll want 7 or 8 years, and he'll probably get it.

kyleb · #7 08-01-2007, 04:17 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Even if they would've added the whole world, Santana would have to be stupid to stay.

I'd give Johan $30m/yr over four years.

[/ QUOTE ]

So would I, but he wouldn't take it.

Vyse · #8 08-01-2007, 04:19 PM

I wonder what the sweat spot is for a higher annual but shorter long-term contract to make it +EV for both the team and Johan. Like if we estimate the chances of Johan getting injured / performing poorly enough that he no longer gets another huge long-term contract after those four years, and then we figure out how much the highest contract offer for him next season is, and then we add however much annually we need to make him accept it... Bleh.

I guess a simpler question would be that, on average, how much more $$ on annual basis is needed to make a player pass up more years but less money.

NT! · #9 08-01-2007, 04:30 PM

really depends on the player. johan will be the most sought-after free agent in a long time if he hits the market (and i wouldn't be surprised if he doesn't - someone will probably try to trade for him and sign him to an extension).

i see no reason he can't get a eight or ten year deal in the 28MM/per range, maybe more. if he's smart he'll get an opt-out after four or five years so he can go back for another big deal if he's healthy.

kyleb · #10 08-01-2007, 04:34 PM

TEN years? That is ludicrous. I know the guy has had very little arm trouble, but that is totally unacceptable.

I would imagine he'll get a 7-8 year deal with an opt-out and a mutual option for years 9-10.