NL50 : AKs in RR pot flop K facing push

[theplux]

I had 40ish hands on vilain before that hand happened and I really thought about folding here. He had a PFR of like 6% on 40hands which isnt enought to make a clear decision given his stats.

Sorry for the HH, it's from a euro soft and I can't convert the hands.

GAME #589858112: Texas Hold'em NL $0.25/$0.50 2007-07-02 04:20:57
Table Cicero�
Seat 1: thepluxx ($56.95 in chips)
Seat 3: nerdwars ($67.60 in chips)
Seat 5: the7c ($50.00 in chips)
Seat 6: AAchiqiao ($42.05 in chips)
Seat 8: Sabatini ($73.70 in chips) DEALER
Seat 10: Zekor2k0 ($49.50 in chips)
Zekor2k0: Post SB $0.25
thepluxx: Post BB $0.50
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to thepluxx [As Ks]
nerdwars: Call $0.50
the7c: Raise $2.00
AAchiqiao: Fold
Sabatini: Fold
Zekor2k0: Fold
thepluxx: Raise $6.00
nerdwars: Fold
the7c: Call $4.50
*** FLOP *** [9s 4d Kd]
thepluxx: Bet $11.00
the7c: Raise $30.00
thepluxx: Allin $39.45
the7c: Allin $13.50
*** TURN *** [6h]
*** RIVER *** [Qs]
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $104.70 Rake $3.00

I could've RR PF to a little more because I'm oop here but still, my questionning is postflop. Thx.

[monkover]

pleae convert the hand

[ajmargarine]

There would have to be exceptional circumstances for me to fold TPTK or better in a 3b HU pot at NL50.

And I think you need to get a standard 3b bet size and stick to it. $6.75 or $7 works. $6 is a bit too light.

[bozzer]

without any more information than what you've given I'd say his range for the flop raise is AK,KK+ with like 1 combo of KQ thrown in there that you beat.

AK: 3*2 = 6 combos (50% equity)
KK: 1 combo (0% equity)
AA: 3 combos (~10 equity)
KQ: 1 combo (~90 equity)


gotta dash - just work out what your equity is against that range and then make yr decision based on the pot odds etc...

[theplux]

I just don't see KQo or KQs in his 3b range even if he's in position.

I was thinking at best I'm spliting here.
@monk : please read. NOIQpoker HH are weird and I haven't found anything yet that can convert any of them for a forum format.

[ajmargarine]

[ QUOTE ]
I just don't see KQo or KQs in his 3b range even if he's in position.



[/ QUOTE ]

You only have 40 hands on him and said you don't have enough info on him to make a good read. Therefore, TPTK is teh nutz in a 3b pot. Don't be results orientated. Randoms show up with KJ here so often it's not even funny.

[danny8]

i 3bet a little more to $7 pf. This is a mid pp so often, and sometimes kx. Insta shove his flop raise!

[theplux]

ok good I was being result oriented then. he showed AA but ya KJ-KQ is def in donk range so iguess i played good.

[bozzer]

[ QUOTE ]
He had a PFR of like 6% on 40hands which isnt enought to make a clear decision given his stats.

[/ QUOTE ]

Is there something about his stats that would make us require a larger sample size than usual?

40 hands seems plenty enough to suggest he has a tight raising range. It certainly is possible that he is one of those types that call a 3bet with a wide range, and I forgot he was IP, so his range is probably wider than I suggested. I still think this a split/aces 75%+ of the time, but I guess you had enough equity to get it in (but I haven't checked).

[dawade]

This hand is so standard that the only reason anyone is replying is to bump their post count.