for long term investments, why not go 100% emerging markets?

[DcifrThs]

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Montle carlo simulation are easy to understand and they are taught in intro business classes, or if you used pokerstove. They apply perfectly to this situation.

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sure it applies, but for the point he was making theres easier ways to get the point across. using the monte carlo option on pokerstove doesn't equal understanding monte carlo simulation. but whatever, thats not really the point of this thread.

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if you read my post, you'll see that after the paragraph where i mention "monte carlo" (much to your dislike) i state unequivocally that the above paragraph ISN'T the most important part and is just a thought exercise to show what could happen as you approach the end of your time horizon. the most important stuff is what proceeds the "monte carlo" discussion.

wrong side of the bed this morning?

Barron