3 barrel in 3-bet pot vs reg

[Casper05]

Villain is Topcat1680 and running 22/18/2.5

We have been 3-betting each other a decent amount on two tables that we are on together...he has started to call me a little lighter- Ive taken a couple down with c-bets and have ch/folded once I believe.

I think he got a little tilty after this hand:

Full Tilt Poker, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker Hand History Converter

Hero (BTN): $206
SB: $195
BB: $36.75
UTG: $304.15
MP: $39.80
CO: $200

Pre-Flop: T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN)
2 folds, <font color="red">CO raises to $7</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $24</font>, 2 folds, <font color="red">CO raises to $60</font>, Hero calls $36

Flop: ($123) 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">CO bets $61</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $146 and is All-In</font>, CO calls $79 and is All-In

EDIT to add results- villain had Q8 soooted

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This hand is over an hour after the previous hand and I don't think he's calling/getting it in this light vs me anymore...esp 150BBs 'deep'.

<font color="blue">I think he has TT/JJ here a TON...thoughts? Maybe he's just letting me hang myself? Does my turn bet look weak or look like its setting up an easyish river shove?</font>

Full Tilt Poker, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
LeggoPoker Hand History Converter

BTN: $346.05
Hero (SB): $298.75
BB: $154.15
UTG: $224.35
CO: $264.35

Pre-Flop: 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (SB)
2 folds, <font color="red">BTN raises to $7</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $23</font>, BB folds, BTN calls $16

Flop: ($48) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $30</font>, BTN calls $30

Turn: ($108) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $65</font>, BTN calls $65

River: ($238) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero shoves for ~170 and is All-In</font>

[Casper05]

nm hand editted for discussion

[ofishstix]

the majority of his range is prolly aa-99 and aq. that seem right?

[Casper05]

Yes, but how often do you think he gets to turn with AQ/AK here?

Assuming he gets to turn with AQ some % of the time, can he fold it to the river shove?

And wouldnt he be 4-betting QQ+ almost always with our history?

[ofishstix]

i think given history he's prolly playing most of these hands the same preflop. if ive been 3betting a ton, id either tarp with aa or 4bet 99 for value, etc.

and he's pretty much never folding aq by the river.

[JonnyCosMo]

LMAO... What hours do you play sir? Lets play together. You seem like a fun opponent.

[nazahl]

I think once he calls the turn, he's gonna talk himself into showing down. and yeah, turn bet does look a little weak, so I think i'd just give up on the river.

[lowpockets]

You showed us an example of him calling off a stack pretty damn light. He is also capable of playing a wide range in three bet pots. Both of these things make bluffing here really bad.