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  #1  
Old 09-06-2006, 12:29 AM
happyjaypee happyjaypee is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Stacking off whit one pair
Posts: 663
Default Ugly river with the nut flush

Villain is 43/8.5/1.3 over 200 hands. He usually c-bet when he raise PF, but give up on turn unless he has something. I also saw him raise King's, flop top set and chk it in position.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

MP ($158)
<font color="red">CO (Villain) ($347.11)</font>
Button ($188.05)
<font color="red">Hero ($552.94)</font>
BB ($220)
UTG ($346.83)

Preflop: Hero is SB with K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. Hero posts a blind of $1.
<font color="grey">2 folds</font>, <font color="red">CO (Villain) raises to $5</font>, <font color="grey">1 fold</font>, Hero (poster) calls $4, <font color="grey">1 fold</font>.

Flop: ($12) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="green">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="red">Villain bets $5</font>, Hero calls $5.

Standard

Turn: ($22) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="green">(2 players)</font>
<font color="red">Hero bets $15</font>, <font color="red">Villain raises to $40</font>, Hero calls $25.

Ok, Now it get more interseting. He could have 66, AT or AA here. I don't think this opponent would raise here with just a T with the flush out, or with AxQ[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], He would most likely just call with those to try to fill/flush. But he may very well have a worst flush.

River: ($102) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="green">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="red">Vilain bets $60</font>, Hero???

Ok, this looks like a very bad river and I usually lay it down here. But given my turn read, we can now take out 66 of the equation. so he has AT, or AA, or he is turning is smaller flush into a bluff.

Can I consider a call here or am I just talking myself into it?


Thanks

-Happy [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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  #2  
Old 09-06-2006, 12:45 AM
Case Closed Case Closed is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: just how dangerous is it for a pot to hold ice?
Posts: 7,298
Default Re: Ugly river with the nut flush

I would fold this pre-flop.
As played fold the river.
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  #3  
Old 09-06-2006, 10:26 AM
mayday4379 mayday4379 is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 946
Default Re: Ugly river with the nut flush

Fold river.
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  #4  
Old 09-06-2006, 11:05 AM
TylerD TylerD is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: UK
Posts: 3,990
Default Re: Ugly river with the nut flush

[ QUOTE ]
I would never fold this pre-flop.
As played fold the river.

[/ QUOTE ]
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